ESI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ESI - Element Solutions Inc.
$42.34
-1.22 (-2.80%)
▼
5d:
-3.55%
30d:
+13.51%
90d:
+30.84%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 28, 2026
0d
Smart Money Distribution
ESI is up 4.5% this week, but smart money is buying puts. Top strike: $32 2026-05-15 with 4,028 OI. Put ratio: 100% View Scanner →
Strength: 8.1/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ESI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 6.1% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ESI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 6.1% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$57.01
Based on 10.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$35.40
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ESI is currently trading at $42.34, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $37.16 to $43.33. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 20.6) compared to its historical average (17.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 6.1% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ESI is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $41.63. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $47.30 (+11.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ESI is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $41.63. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $47.30 (+11.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$37.16 -
$43.33
Company Quality Score
62/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
66.2%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($47.30)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 6.1% growth with 41.5% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$37.16 -
$43.33
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$41.63
Resistance Level
$45.52
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
20.62
Wall Street Target
$47.30
(+11.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
41.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-42.5%
Profit Margin
5.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+6.1% premium
PE vs Historical
20.6 vs 17.3
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+6.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$44.92
(+6%)
2-Year Target
$47.66
(+13%)
3-Year Target
$50.57
(+19%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 21→17)
PE COMPRESSION
$42.44
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: 16.0%)
$70.81
(+67%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.6, Growth: 16.0%)
$66.15
(+56%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.3, Growth: 16.0%)
$55.51
(+31%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (25x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (21x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 25.06 | Forward EPS (Implied): $1.69
Bull Case
$51.13
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 26.3
Base Case
$42.34
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 25.1
Bear Case
$32.39
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 22.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 18, 2026 8:26 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:26 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:26 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ESI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
E Stanley Oneal
SELL
143564 shares
2026-02-20
Matthew Liebowitz
SELL
37000 shares
2025-12-12
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