ESLT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ESLT - Elbit Systems Ltd
$803.26
43.28 (5.69%)
▲
5d:
+9.63%
30d:
-5.4%
90d:
-10.4%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 12, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: ESLT shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: ESLT shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$722.93
Based on 10.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$448.88
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ESLT is currently trading at $803.26, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $763.80 to $862.48. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 44.5) is in line with its historical norms (48.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 42.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ESLT is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $824.97. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 5.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ESLT is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $824.97. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 5.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$763.80 -
$862.48
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.7%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+5.7%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($868.50)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$763.80 -
$862.48
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$50.23
(6.3%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$710.00
Resistance Level
$824.97
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Jul 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
44.47
Wall Street Target
$868.50
(+8.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
15.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
42.1%
Profit Margin
7.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
44.5 vs 48.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$779.97
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$757.35
(-6%)
3-Year Target
$735.38
(-9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 44→49)
$803.65
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 44.5, Growth: 15.9%)
$1250.20
(+56%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 15.9%)
$612.28
(-24%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 15.9%)
$520.44
(-35%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 9.66 | Forward EPS (Implied): $83.14
Bull Case
$969.94
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 10.1
Base Case
$803.26
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 9.7
Bear Case
$614.49
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 8.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 44.5 to 48.6
Stabilization Target:
$877.82
(+9.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+9.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 03, 2026 9:46 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:46 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:46 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ESLT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
7
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Bezhalel Machlis
SELL
25514 shares
2026-04-09
Haim Daniel Delmar
SELL
7654 shares
2026-04-09
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7654 shares
2026-04-09
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Advanced ESLT Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's ESLT price and gamma walls.
