FBIN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

FBIN - Fortune Brands Innovations, Inc.

MILLWOOD, VENEER, PLYWOOD, & STRUCTURAL WOOD MEMBERS
$54.10
-0.90 (-1.64%) ▼
HOLD
LOW Confidence
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Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 05, 2026 4d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: FBIN shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$73.11
Based on 6.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$45.40
Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: FBIN is currently trading at $54.10, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $51.30 to $59.34. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 13.4) is in line with its historical norms (13.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.2% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, FBIN is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $53.27. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $62.94 (+14.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Fair Price Range $51.30 - $59.34
Company Quality Score 51/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 73.3%

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All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($62.94)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 1.2% growth with -0.5% revenue growth
  • CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -7.3% 5-day decline

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $51.30 - $59.34
Current vs Fair Value FAIR

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $53.27
Resistance Level $62.15
Current Trend Strong Uptrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 13.45
Wall Street Target $62.94 (+14.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -0.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -45.9%
Profit Margin 7.3%
Valuation Premium vs History +1.2% premium
PE vs Historical 13.5 vs 13.0 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +1.2% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $55.66 (+1%)
2-Year Target $56.33 (+2%)
3-Year Target $57.00 (+4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 13→13) PE COMPRESSION $55.09 (+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.3, Growth: 9.2%) $118.79 (+116%)
Base: (SPY PE: 13.5, Growth: 9.2%) $71.66 (+30%)
Bear: (PE: 11.4, Growth: 9.2%) $60.91 (+11%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (21x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 20.55 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.67
Bull Case $92.44 (+71%)
Analyst growth 53.1%, PE expands to 22.6
Base Case $84.04 (+55%)
Market implied 53.1%, PE stable at 20.6
Bear Case $37.32 (-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 31, 2026 9:40 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:40 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Nicholas I Fink SELL 1522 shares 2025-08-18
Nicholas I Fink SELL 29792 shares 2025-08-15

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Advanced FBIN Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's FBIN price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

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