FIVE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FIVE - Five Below, Inc. Common Stock
$182.43
-0.21 (-0.11%)
▼
5d:
-2.23%
30d:
-17.22%
90d:
-22.34%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 26, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 5.6/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: FIVE shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: FIVE shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$254.39
Based on 7.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$157.96
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FIVE is currently trading at $182.43, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $186.13 to $217.20. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 25.9) compared to its historical average (31.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 195.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FIVE is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $184.68. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: FIVE has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $260.81 (+43.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FIVE is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $184.68. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: FIVE has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $260.81 (+43.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$186.13 -
$217.20
Company Quality Score
48/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding FIVE? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 43.0% below Wall St target ($260.81)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$186.13 -
$217.20
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$184.68
Resistance Level
$232.50
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
25.88
Wall Street Target
$260.81
(+43.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
32.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
195.6%
Profit Margin
8.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
25.9 vs 31.0
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$171.67
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$161.54
(-12%)
3-Year Target
$152.01
(-17%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 26→31)
$182.07
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 25.9, Growth: 11.3%)
$251.64
(+38%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 11.3%)
$211.77
(+16%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 11.3%)
$180.00
(-1%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 23.03 | Current EPS (TTM): $7.93
Bull Case
$178.58
(-2%)
Analyst growth -11.1%, PE expands to 25.3
Base Case
$162.34
(-11%)
Market implied -11.1%, PE stable at 23.0
Bear Case
$124.20
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 19.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 25.9 to 31.0
Stabilization Target:
$218.51
(+19.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+19.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 04, 2026 9:05 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:05 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:05 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FIVE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
5
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ronald Sargent
SELL
10000 shares
2026-03-23
Kenneth R Bull
SELL
10000 shares
2026-03-20
Kenneth R Bull
SELL
1925 shares
2026-01-15
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