FLY Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

FLY - Firefly Aerospace Inc. Common Stock

GUIDED MISSILES & SPACE VEHICLES & PARTS
$43.04
2.61 (6.46%) ▲
5d: +12.55%
30d: -1.56%
90d: +111.19%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 04, 2026 0d
Smart Money Accumulation

FLY is down 4.3% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $60 2026-06-18 with 16,493 OI. Call ratio: 84% View Scanner →

Strength: 5.5/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: FLY shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Company currently unprofitable (negative forward earnings). Moderate conviction.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: FLY is currently trading at $43.04, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $34.23 to $41.56.

Technical Outlook: Technically, FLY is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $31.30, while resistance sits at $47.71. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 6.5% recently.

Market Sentiment: FLY has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $47.12 (+16.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $34.23 - $41.56
Company Quality Score 59/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 65.8%

All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+6.5%)
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($47.12)

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $34.23 - $41.56
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $31.30
Resistance Level $47.71
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of May 18, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) -35.41
Wall Street Target $47.13 (+16.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 44.8%
Profit Margin -193.8%
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Last updated: May 18, 2026 1:08 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:08 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
David Leigh Wheeler SELL 3766 shares 2026-04-17

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Advanced FLY Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's FLY price and gamma walls.

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