FOSL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

FOSL - Fossil Group, Inc.

WATCHES, CLOCKS, CLOCKWORK OPERATED DEVICES/PARTS
$3.47
-0.25 (-6.72%) ▼
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
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Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Mar 11, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: FOSL shows balanced signals. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly. Monitor for clearer direction.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: FOSL is currently trading at $3.47, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $3.65 to $3.89.

Technical Outlook: Technically, FOSL is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $3.38. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 6.7% recently.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $5.00 (+34.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Fair Price Range $3.65 - $3.89
Company Quality Score 51/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 45.8%

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All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Downward momentum (-6.7%)
  • BULLISH: Trading 34.4% below Wall St target ($5.00)

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $3.65 - $3.89
Current vs Fair Value EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $3.39
Resistance Level $4.49
Current Trend Strong Uptrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) -18.60
Wall Street Target $5.00 (+34.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -15.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -81.7%
Profit Margin -5.5%
Last updated: January 31, 2026 7:36 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:36 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Advanced FOSL Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's FOSL price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

More Analysis for FOSL

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