FOXA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FOXA - Fox Corporation Class A Common Stock
$65.32
-1.15 (-1.73%)
▼
5d:
+4.2%
30d:
+2.61%
90d:
+15.75%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 11, 2026
0d
Smart Money Accumulation
FOXA is down 4.0% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $65 2026-07-17 with 391 OI. Call ratio: 77% View Scanner →
Strength: 4.7/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: FOXA shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.9% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: FOXA shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.9% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$111.68
Based on 8.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$69.34
5.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FOXA is currently trading at $65.32, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $61.51 to $65.32. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 11.7) compared to its historical average (13.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.9% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FOXA is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $61.25, while resistance sits at $68.25.
Market Sentiment: FOXA has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $73.75 (+12.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FOXA is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $61.25, while resistance sits at $68.25.
Market Sentiment: FOXA has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $73.75 (+12.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$61.51 -
$65.32
Company Quality Score
64/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
73.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($73.75)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$61.51 -
$65.32
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$61.25
Resistance Level
$68.25
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.65
Wall Street Target
$73.75
(+12.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-8.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-49.3%
Profit Margin
10.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.7 vs 13.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$62.77
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$60.32
(-8%)
3-Year Target
$57.97
(-11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→13)
$65.17
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.0, Growth: 13.6%)
$181.35
(+178%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.7, Growth: 13.6%)
$95.88
(+47%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.9, Growth: 13.6%)
$81.50
(+25%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (18x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 17.82 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.80
Bull Case
$101.12
(+52%)
Analyst growth 35.7%, PE expands to 19.6
Base Case
$91.93
(+38%)
Market implied 35.7%, PE stable at 17.8
Bear Case
$46.05
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.7 to 13.1
Stabilization Target:
$73.43
(+12.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+12.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 14, 2026 5:34 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:34 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:34 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FOXA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
7
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Lachlan K Murdoch
BUY
175372 shares
2026-03-13
Lachlan K Murdoch
SELL
637752 shares
2026-03-13
John Nallen
SELL
216806 shares
2026-03-12
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's FOXA price and gamma walls.
