FOXF Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FOXF - Fox Factory Holding Corp. Common Stock
$18.40
-0.09 (-0.49%)
▼
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 26, 2026
24d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: FOXF shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.9% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: FOXF shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.9% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$33.93
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$21.07
12.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FOXF is currently trading at $18.40, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $17.80 to $19.19. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.0) is in line with its historical norms (11.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.9% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FOXF is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $18.07. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $22.57 (+22.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FOXF is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $18.07. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $22.57 (+22.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$17.80 -
$19.19
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
52th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.6%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 52th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 22.7% below Wall St target ($22.57)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 1.9% growth with 4.8% revenue growth
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$17.80 -
$19.19
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$1.79
(9.8%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$18.07
Resistance Level
$19.94
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.04
Wall Street Target
$22.57
(+22.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-49.4%
Profit Margin
-17.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.9% premium
PE vs Historical
12.0 vs 11.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$18.75
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$19.11
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$19.47
(+6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→11)
PE COMPRESSION
$18.44
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 50.9%)
$115.05
(+525%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.0, Growth: 50.9%)
$62.10
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.2, Growth: 50.9%)
$52.78
(+187%)
Last updated: February 01, 2026 7:35 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:35 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:35 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FOXF showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced FOXF Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's FOXF price and gamma walls.
