FOXF Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FOXF - Fox Factory Holding Corp. Common Stock
$16.59
-0.27 (-1.60%)
▼
5d:
-0.96%
30d:
-1.48%
90d:
-6.48%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 27, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 14, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: FOXF trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -4.3% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: FOXF trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -4.3% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$32.53
Based on 11.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$20.20
17.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FOXF is currently trading at $16.59, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $16.06 to $18.43. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 9.9) compared to its historical average (11.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.3% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FOXF is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $15.55, while resistance sits at $18.44.
Market Sentiment: FOXF has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $22.83 (+35.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FOXF is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $15.55, while resistance sits at $18.44.
Market Sentiment: FOXF has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $22.83 (+35.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range
$16.06 -
$18.43
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
43th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
86.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 43th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 35.4% below Wall St target ($22.83)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$16.06 -
$18.43
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY LOW
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$1.57
(9.4%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$15.55
Resistance Level
$18.44
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.86
Wall Street Target
$22.83
(+35.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-49.4%
Profit Margin
-37.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.9 vs 11.2
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$16.14
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$15.44
(-8%)
3-Year Target
$14.78
(-12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→11)
$16.79
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 18.6%)
$63.92
(+279%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.9, Growth: 18.6%)
$28.13
(+67%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.4, Growth: 18.6%)
$23.91
(+42%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.9 to 11.2
Stabilization Target:
$19.15
(+13.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+13.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 1:37 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:37 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:37 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FOXF showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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