FUL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FUL - H.B. Fuller Company
$61.89
-0.96 (-1.53%)
▼
5d:
-2.09%
30d:
+4.6%
90d:
+4.23%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 28, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Mar 25, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: FUL shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.7% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: FUL shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.7% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$86.58
Based on 6.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$53.76
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FUL is currently trading at $61.89, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $57.66 to $64.32. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.0) is in line with its historical norms (12.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 58.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FUL is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $60.72. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $70.43 (+13.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FUL is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $60.72. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $70.43 (+13.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$57.66 -
$64.32
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
70.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($70.43)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$57.66 -
$64.32
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$60.72
Resistance Level
$65.60
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Apr 28, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.04
Wall Street Target
$70.43
(+13.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-2.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
58.3%
Profit Margin
4.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
12.0 vs 12.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$61.46
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$61.03
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$60.60
(-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→12)
$61.92
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.6, Growth: 9.0%)
$137.29
(+122%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.0, Growth: 9.0%)
$80.19
(+30%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.2, Growth: 9.0%)
$68.16
(+10%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (22x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 21.75 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.89
Bull Case
$122.99
(+99%)
Analyst growth 77.9%, PE expands to 23.9
Base Case
$111.81
(+81%)
Market implied 77.9%, PE stable at 21.8
Bear Case
$42.74
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.0 to 12.3
Stabilization Target:
$63.24
(+2.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+2.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 29, 2026 2:42 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:42 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:42 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is FUL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
1
Sells
0
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Celeste Beeks Mastin
BUY
5170 shares
2026-04-07
Nathan D Weaver
SELL
7075 shares
2025-11-13
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