FWONA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FWONA - Liberty Media Corporation Series A Liberty Formula One Common Stock
$83.27
-0.60 (-0.72%)
▼
5d:
-2.85%
30d:
+0.48%
90d:
+7.38%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 07, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: FWONA shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly high pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: FWONA shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly high pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$135.94
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$84.41
1.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 22.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FWONA is currently trading at $83.27, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $80.08 to $83.80. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 27.1) compared to its historical average (22.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 6.0% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FWONA is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $78.22, while resistance sits at $87.51.
Market Sentiment: FWONA has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $108.67 (+30.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FWONA is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $78.22, while resistance sits at $87.51.
Market Sentiment: FWONA has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $108.67 (+30.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$80.08 -
$83.80
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 30.5% below Wall St target ($108.67)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 6.0% growth with 18.3% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$80.08 -
$83.80
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$78.22
Resistance Level
$87.51
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
May 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
27.08
Wall Street Target
$108.67
(+30.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
18.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-49.7%
Profit Margin
5.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+6.0% premium
PE vs Historical
27.1 vs 22.7
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+6.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$88.27
(+6%)
2-Year Target
$93.56
(+12%)
3-Year Target
$99.18
(+19%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 27→23)
PE COMPRESSION
$83.14
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 27.1, Growth: 44.1%)
$249.40
(+200%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.0, Growth: 44.1%)
$203.00
(+144%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.7, Growth: 44.1%)
$172.55
(+107%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (37x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (27x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 36.83 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.29
Bull Case
$124.60
(+50%)
Analyst growth 34.3%, PE expands to 40.5
Base Case
$113.27
(+36%)
Market implied 34.3%, PE stable at 36.8
Bear Case
$57.36
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 31.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 14, 2026 6:02 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:02 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:02 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FWONA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Chase Carey
SELL
83536 shares
2025-12-17
Chase Carey
SELL
83500 shares
2025-12-16
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