GFF Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GFF - Griffon Corp
$71.42
-1.84 (-2.51%)
▼
5d:
+0.41%
30d:
-12.66%
90d:
-3.03%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 14, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: GFF shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: GFF shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$103.30
Based on 7.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$64.14
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GFF is currently trading at $71.42, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $69.89 to $82.01. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.4) is in line with its historical norms (12.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.9% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GFF is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $67.51, while resistance sits at $73.92.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $114.14 (+59.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GFF is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $67.51, while resistance sits at $73.92.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $114.14 (+59.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range
$69.89 -
$82.01
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 59.8% below Wall St target ($114.14)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$69.89 -
$82.01
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$67.51
Resistance Level
$73.92
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Apr 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.36
Wall Street Target
$114.14
(+59.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-5.4%
Profit Margin
1.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
12.4 vs 12.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$70.78
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$70.14
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$69.51
(-3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→13)
$71.42
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.6, Growth: 10.2%)
$159.27
(+123%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.4, Growth: 10.2%)
$95.70
(+34%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.5, Growth: 10.2%)
$81.35
(+14%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 10.21 | Forward EPS (Implied): $6.97
Bull Case
$85.94
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 10.7
Base Case
$71.17
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 10.2
Bear Case
$54.45
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 9.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.4 to 12.7
Stabilization Target:
$73.38
(+2.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+2.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 03, 2026 12:41 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:41 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:41 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GFF showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
James W Sight
SELL
3070 shares
2026-02-09
Seth L Kaplan
SELL
15000 shares
2026-02-09
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