GFF Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GFF - Griffon Corp
$81.14
-0.31 (-0.38%)
▼
5d:
-2.86%
30d:
+10.17%
90d:
+8.5%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: February 2, 2026
Earnings: Feb 04, 2026
TODAY
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: GFF shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.0% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: GFF shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.0% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$126.54
Based on 9.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$78.57
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GFF is currently trading at $81.14, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $76.22 to $84.23. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.9) is in line with its historical norms (11.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.0% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GFF is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $80.46. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $101.29 (+24.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GFF is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $80.46. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $101.29 (+24.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$76.22 -
$84.23
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
50th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
71.9%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 50th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 24.8% below Wall St target ($101.29)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$76.22 -
$84.23
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$3.62
(4.5%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$80.46
Resistance Level
$86.11
Current Trend
Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.87
Wall Street Target
$101.29
(+24.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
0.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-27.3%
Profit Margin
2.0%
PE vs Historical
11.9 vs 11.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$81.14
(0%)
2-Year Target
$81.14
(0%)
3-Year Target
$81.14
(0%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→12)
$81.36
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 14.6%)
$229.54
(+183%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.9, Growth: 14.6%)
$122.16
(+51%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.1, Growth: 14.6%)
$103.84
(+28%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (75x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 75.42 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.08
Bull Case
$179.19
(+121%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 83.0
Base Case
$162.90
(+101%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 75.4
Bear Case
$55.39
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 64.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: February 03, 2026 1:34 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:34 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:34 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GFF showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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