GLAD Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GLAD - Gladstone Capital Corp
$18.51
-0.17 (-0.88%)
▼
5d:
-1.99%
30d:
+7.78%
90d:
-9.33%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 28, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 06, 2026
6d
Get Alerted When GLAD Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: GLAD shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.0% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: GLAD shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.0% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$20.58
Based on 1.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$12.78
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GLAD is currently trading at $18.50, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $17.39 to $18.81. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 9.8) is in line with its historical norms (10.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.0% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GLAD is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $18.06. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $21.67 (+16.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GLAD is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $18.06. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $21.67 (+16.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$17.39 -
$18.81
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
62.9%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($21.67)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$17.39 -
$18.81
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$18.06
Resistance Level
$19.44
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Apr 28, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.79
Wall Street Target
$21.67
(+16.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
11.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-80.1%
Profit Margin
38.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.8 vs 10.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$18.48
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$18.30
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$18.12
(-3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→10)
$18.69
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.6, Growth: -1.3%)
$37.84
(+103%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.8, Growth: -1.3%)
$17.97
(-4%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.3, Growth: -1.3%)
$15.27
(-18%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (12x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 11.65 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.58
Bull Case
$24.45
(+31%)
Analyst growth 20.7%, PE expands to 12.8
Base Case
$22.23
(+19%)
Market implied 20.7%, PE stable at 11.7
Bear Case
$12.52
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.8 to 10.1
Stabilization Target:
$19.27
(+3.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+3.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 29, 2026 9:55 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:55 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:55 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is GLAD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Nicole Frances D Schalte…
BUY
496 shares
2025-11-20
Top Rated Asset Management Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Asset Management by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
KKR
KKR & Co LP |
STRONG BUY
21 analysts |
$123 | 64 BUY |
|
APO
Apollo Global Management… |
STRONG BUY
19 analysts |
$139 | 64 BUY |
|
BLK
BlackRock Inc |
STRONG BUY
17 analysts |
$1254 | 57 HOLD |
|
HASI
Hannon Armstrong Sustain… |
STRONG BUY
16 analysts |
$46 | 62 BUY |
|
ARCC
Ares Capital Corporation |
STRONG BUY
13 analysts |
$22 | 65 BUY |
