GLAD Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GLAD - Gladstone Capital Corp
$19.11
-0.28 (-1.44%)
▼
5d:
+0.84%
30d:
-1.24%
90d:
+7.36%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 03, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: GLAD shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: GLAD shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$22.82
Based on 3.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$14.17
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GLAD is currently trading at $19.11, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $19.03 to $19.58. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.0) is in line with its historical norms (10.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 73.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GLAD is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $18.83. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $22.00 (+13.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GLAD is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $18.83. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $22.00 (+13.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$19.03 -
$19.58
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($22.00)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$19.03 -
$19.58
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$18.83
Resistance Level
$19.58
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.99
Wall Street Target
$22.00
(+13.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
20.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
73.7%
Profit Margin
44.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.0 vs 10.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$19.33
(0%)
2-Year Target
$19.27
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$19.22
(-1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→10)
$19.42
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.9, Growth: 2.2%)
$45.45
(+134%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.0, Growth: 2.2%)
$20.72
(+7%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.5, Growth: 2.2%)
$17.61
(-9%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (10x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 10.42 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.87
Bull Case
$22.24
(+15%)
Analyst growth 3.7%, PE expands to 11.5
Base Case
$20.22
(+4%)
Market implied 3.7%, PE stable at 10.4
Bear Case
$13.25
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.0 to 10.1
Stabilization Target:
$19.59
(+1.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+1.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 15, 2026 5:01 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:01 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:01 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GLAD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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