GNTX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GNTX - Gentex Corp
$21.49
-0.23 (-1.08%)
▼
5d:
+1.34%
30d:
-8.18%
90d:
-8.46%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 27, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 24, 2026
24d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: GNTX trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -3.6% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: GNTX trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -3.6% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$34.26
Based on 7.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$21.28
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GNTX is currently trading at $21.48, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $21.18 to $23.28. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 10.1) compared to its historical average (11.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 10.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GNTX is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $20.48, while resistance sits at $22.21.
Market Sentiment: GNTX has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $28.38 (+30.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GNTX is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $20.48, while resistance sits at $22.21.
Market Sentiment: GNTX has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $28.38 (+30.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$21.18 -
$23.28
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
83.3%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 30.6% below Wall St target ($28.38)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$21.18 -
$23.28
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$20.48
Resistance Level
$22.21
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.13
Wall Street Target
$28.38
(+30.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
19.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
10.1%
Profit Margin
15.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.1 vs 11.3
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$20.94
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$20.18
(-7%)
3-Year Target
$19.46
(-10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→11)
$21.71
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 10.4%)
$64.58
(+197%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.1, Growth: 10.4%)
$29.20
(+35%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.6, Growth: 10.4%)
$24.82
(+14%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (12x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 11.90 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.74
Bull Case
$28.06
(+32%)
Analyst growth 23.2%, PE expands to 13.1
Base Case
$25.51
(+20%)
Market implied 23.2%, PE stable at 11.9
Bear Case
$14.08
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.1 to 11.3
Stabilization Target:
$24.23
(+11.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+11.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 1:27 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:27 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:27 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GNTX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Kevin C Nash
SELL
11885 shares
2026-02-17
Neil Boehm
SELL
11248 shares
2026-02-17
Steven R Downing
SELL
35000 shares
2026-02-17
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