GPC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GPC - Genuine Parts Company
$138.99
0.11 (0.08%)
▲
5d:
+0.99%
30d:
+12.06%
90d:
+7.62%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 17, 2026
14d
Get Alerted When GPC Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: GPC is fairly valued with market pricing in 2.3% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: GPC is fairly valued with market pricing in 2.3% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$183.52
Based on 7.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$113.95
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GPC is currently trading at $138.99, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $124.39 to $136.97. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 16.5) is in line with its historical norms (15.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GPC is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $141.56. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: GPC has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GPC is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $141.56. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: GPC has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$124.39 -
$136.97
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
58.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding GPC? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($146.78)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.3% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$124.39 -
$136.97
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$130.96
Resistance Level
$141.56
Current Trend
Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.52
Wall Street Target
$146.78
(+5.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.9%
Profit Margin
3.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.3% premium
PE vs Historical
16.5 vs 15.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$142.19
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$145.46
(+5%)
3-Year Target
$148.80
(+7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→16)
PE COMPRESSION
$139.58
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 10.2%)
$251.03
(+81%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.5, Growth: 10.2%)
$186.02
(+34%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.0, Growth: 10.2%)
$158.12
(+14%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (24x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 24.10 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.81
Bull Case
$222.98
(+60%)
Analyst growth 44.8%, PE expands to 26.5
Base Case
$202.71
(+46%)
Market implied 44.8%, PE stable at 24.1
Bear Case
$95.21
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 20.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: February 01, 2026 9:36 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:36 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:36 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is GPC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Naveen Krishna
SELL
5303 shares
2025-09-26
Michael T. McCaul
SELL
2025-08-22
Top Rated Auto Parts Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Auto Parts by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
AZO
AutoZone Inc |
STRONG BUY
29 analysts |
$4210 | 66 BUY |
|
ORLY
O’Reilly Automotive Inc |
STRONG BUY
28 analysts |
$109 | 67 BUY |
|
MBLY
Mobileye Global Inc. Cla… |
BUY
28 analysts |
$16 | 50 HOLD |
|
APTV
Aptiv PLC |
BUY
22 analysts |
$102 | 60 HOLD |
|
BWA
BorgWarner Inc |
STRONG BUY
18 analysts |
$51 | 59 HOLD |
Advanced GPC Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's GPC price and gamma walls.
