GRND Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GRND - Grindr Inc.
$16.06
0.37 (2.36%)
▲
5d:
+18.44%
30d:
+37.15%
90d:
+34.39%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR BETTER ENTRY: GRND is 13.3% above its trading range ($14.17). Market expects 3.9% annual growth, but current price leaves little margin for error. While momentum could continue, risk/reward favors waiting for a pullback.
⏸️ WAIT FOR BETTER ENTRY: GRND is 13.3% above its trading range ($14.17). Market expects 3.9% annual growth, but current price leaves little margin for error. While momentum could continue, risk/reward favors waiting for a pullback.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$27.89
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$17.32
7.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GRND is currently trading at $16.06, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $11.42 to $14.17. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 20.9) compared to its historical average (18.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.9% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GRND is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $13.07. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $18.80 (+17.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GRND is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $13.07. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $18.80 (+17.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$11.42 -
$14.17
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
40.0%
Protect Your Profits
GRND is technically overbought (RSI 78). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price significantly overextended (+13.3% above its trading range)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($18.80)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.9% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$11.42 -
$14.17
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$10.30
Resistance Level
$13.07
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
20.86
Wall Street Target
$18.80
(+17.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
38.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
64.5%
Profit Margin
19.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.9% premium
PE vs Historical
20.9 vs 18.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$16.69
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$17.34
(+8%)
3-Year Target
$18.01
(+12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 21→19)
PE COMPRESSION
$16.06
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 28.3%)
$35.45
(+121%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.9, Growth: 28.3%)
$33.94
(+111%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.7, Growth: 28.3%)
$28.85
(+80%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (34x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (21x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 34.11 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.46
Bull Case
$28.89
(+80%)
Analyst growth 67.4%, PE expands to 37.5
Base Case
$26.26
(+64%)
Market implied 67.4%, PE stable at 34.1
Bear Case
$10.67
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 29.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 03, 2026 7:15 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:15 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:15 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GRND showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
15
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Nathan Richardson
SELL
1500 shares
2026-04-01
James Fu Bin Lu
SELL
475000 shares
2026-02-06
James Fu Bin Lu
SELL
600000 shares
2026-02-05
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