GRND Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GRND - Grindr Inc.
$14.20
-0.41 (-2.81%)
▼
5d:
+2.82%
30d:
+9.74%
90d:
+44.16%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 07, 2026
0d
Smart Money Distribution
GRND is up 3.8% this week, but smart money is buying puts. Top strike: $11 2026-06-18 with 2 OI. Put ratio: 100% View Scanner →
Strength: 6.9/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: GRND shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.3% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: GRND shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.3% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$28.79
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$17.88
20.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GRND is currently trading at $14.20, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $12.53 to $14.05. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 19.0) is in line with its historical norms (19.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 64.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GRND is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $13.22, while resistance sits at $15.18.
Market Sentiment: GRND has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $18.20 (+24.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GRND is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $13.22, while resistance sits at $15.18.
Market Sentiment: GRND has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $18.20 (+24.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$12.53 -
$14.05
Company Quality Score
64/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.9%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 24.6% below Wall St target ($18.20)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$12.53 -
$14.05
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$13.22
Resistance Level
$15.18
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.97
Wall Street Target
$18.20
(+24.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
38.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
64.5%
Profit Margin
19.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
19.0 vs 19.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$14.57
(0%)
2-Year Target
$14.52
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$14.48
(-1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 19→19)
$14.65
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.0, Growth: 28.3%)
$35.87
(+146%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.0, Growth: 28.3%)
$30.88
(+111%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.1, Growth: 28.3%)
$26.25
(+80%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (31x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (19x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 30.63 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.46
Bull Case
$25.94
(+78%)
Analyst growth 67.4%, PE expands to 33.7
Base Case
$23.59
(+61%)
Market implied 67.4%, PE stable at 30.6
Bear Case
$9.58
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 26.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 19.0 to 19.2
Stabilization Target:
$14.78
(+1.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+1.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 14, 2026 2:09 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:09 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:09 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GRND showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
19
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Nathan Richardson
SELL
1500 shares
2026-04-01
James Fu Bin Lu
SELL
475000 shares
2026-02-06
James Fu Bin Lu
SELL
600000 shares
2026-02-05
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Advanced GRND Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's GRND price and gamma walls.
