GRPN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GRPN - Groupon, Inc.Common Stock
$17.08
-0.08 (-0.47%)
▼
5d:
-3.94%
30d:
+10.05%
90d:
+36.86%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 07, 2026
0d
Smart Money Accumulation
GRPN is down 7.3% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $20 2026-06-18 with 4,144 OI. Call ratio: 96% View Scanner →
Strength: 8.2/10
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16 traders called GRPN this week
88% bullish • 5 bearish
88% bullish • 5 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: GRPN shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 31.7% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: GRPN shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 31.7% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$10.54
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$6.54
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GRPN is currently trading at $17.08, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $12.77 to $16.58. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 23.7) compared to its historical average (10.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 31.7% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GRPN is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $14.23, while resistance sits at $19.00.
Market Sentiment: GRPN has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $24.33 (+41.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GRPN is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $14.23, while resistance sits at $19.00.
Market Sentiment: GRPN has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $24.33 (+41.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$12.77 -
$16.58
Company Quality Score
60/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.9%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 41.8% below Wall St target ($24.33)
- NEUTRAL: PE elevated vs history but 31.7% growth expectation is conservative given 109% recent growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$12.77 -
$16.58
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$14.23
Resistance Level
$19.00
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
May 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
23.72
Wall Street Target
$24.33
(+41.8%)
Earnings Growth (YoY)
109.2%
Profit Margin
-20.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+31.7% premium
PE vs Historical
23.7 vs 10.4
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+31.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$22.60
(+32%)
2-Year Target
$29.76
(+73%)
3-Year Target
$39.20
(+128%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 24→10)
PE COMPRESSION
$17.18
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 15, 2026 11:23 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:23 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:23 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GRPN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced GRPN Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's GRPN price and gamma walls.
