GRPN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GRPN - Groupon, Inc.Common Stock
$25.58
-0.10 (-0.39%)
▼
5d:
+11.8%
30d:
+36.06%
90d:
+128.6%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR BETTER ENTRY: GRPN is 17.2% above its trading range ($21.83). Market expects 32.6% annual growth, but current price leaves little margin for error. While momentum could continue, risk/reward favors waiting for a pullback.
⏸️ WAIT FOR BETTER ENTRY: GRPN is 17.2% above its trading range ($21.83). Market expects 32.6% annual growth, but current price leaves little margin for error. While momentum could continue, risk/reward favors waiting for a pullback.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$15.41
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$9.57
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GRPN is currently trading at $25.58, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $16.22 to $21.83. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 30.7) compared to its historical average (13.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 32.6% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GRPN is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $22.39. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: GRPN has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GRPN is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $22.39. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: GRPN has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$16.22 -
$21.83
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
47.6%
Protect Your Profits
GRPN is technically overbought (RSI 75). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price significantly overextended (+17.2% above its trading range)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($26.33)
- NEUTRAL: PE elevated vs history but 32.6% growth expectation is conservative given 109% recent growth
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to 17.2% overvaluation
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$16.22 -
$21.83
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$15.59
Resistance Level
$22.39
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
30.70
Wall Street Target
$26.33
(+2.9%)
Earnings Growth (YoY)
109.2%
Profit Margin
-20.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+32.6% premium
PE vs Historical
30.7 vs 13.2
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+32.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$33.92
(+33%)
2-Year Target
$44.98
(+76%)
3-Year Target
$59.64
(+133%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 31→13)
PE COMPRESSION
$25.65
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 04, 2026 12:55 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:55 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:55 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GRPN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced GRPN Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's GRPN price and gamma walls.
