GTX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GTX - Garrett Motion Inc. Common Stock
$17.76
-0.58 (-3.16%)
▼
5d:
+4.72%
30d:
-13.2%
90d:
+2.25%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 27, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 07, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
GTX is down 3.6% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $17 2026-06-18 with 220 OI. Call ratio: 99% View Scanner →
Strength: 6.7/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: GTX shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: GTX shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$29.88
Based on 9.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$18.55
4.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GTX is currently trading at $17.76, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $17.62 to $19.85. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 8.5) is in line with its historical norms (9.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.0% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GTX is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $16.85, while resistance sits at $18.71. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: GTX has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $22.20 (+25.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GTX is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $16.85, while resistance sits at $18.71. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: GTX has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $22.20 (+25.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range
$17.62 -
$19.85
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
85.7%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.2%)
- BULLISH: Trading 25.0% below Wall St target ($22.20)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$17.62 -
$19.85
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$16.85
Resistance Level
$18.71
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 27, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.46
Wall Street Target
$22.20
(+25.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-9.8%
Profit Margin
8.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.5 vs 9.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$17.23
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$16.71
(-6%)
3-Year Target
$16.21
(-9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→9)
$17.81
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 13.9%)
$69.50
(+291%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.5, Growth: 13.9%)
$26.26
(+48%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.2, Growth: 13.9%)
$22.32
(+26%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (11x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 11.16 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.52
Bull Case
$25.75
(+43%)
Analyst growth 38.0%, PE expands to 12.3
Base Case
$23.41
(+30%)
Market implied 38.0%, PE stable at 11.2
Bear Case
$11.53
(-36%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.5 to 9.3
Stabilization Target:
$19.51
(+9.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+9.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 8:56 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:56 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:56 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GTX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
5
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
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SELL
144000 shares
2026-02-27
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SELL
20000 shares
2026-02-26
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13000 shares
2026-02-25
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's GTX price and gamma walls.
