GTX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GTX - Garrett Motion Inc. Common Stock
$18.04
-0.21 (-1.15%)
▼
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 19, 2026
18d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: GTX shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.9% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: GTX shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.9% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$31.64
Based on 13.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$19.65
8.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GTX is currently trading at $18.04, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $17.56 to $18.58. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 9.7) is in line with its historical norms (9.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.9% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GTX is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $17.60. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $21.20 (+16.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GTX is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $17.60. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $21.20 (+16.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$17.56 -
$18.58
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
71.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($21.20)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.9% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$17.56 -
$18.58
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$17.60
Resistance Level
$19.28
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.66
Wall Street Target
$21.20
(+16.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
9.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
58.8%
Profit Margin
9.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.9% premium
PE vs Historical
9.7 vs 9.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$18.60
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$18.95
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$19.31
(+6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→9)
PE COMPRESSION
$18.20
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 22.3%)
$77.16
(+323%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.7, Growth: 22.3%)
$33.41
(+83%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.2, Growth: 22.3%)
$28.40
(+56%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (12x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 11.63 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.56
Bull Case
$24.18
(+34%)
Analyst growth 21.2%, PE expands to 12.8
Base Case
$21.98
(+22%)
Market implied 21.2%, PE stable at 11.6
Bear Case
$12.34
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 31, 2026 1:02 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:02 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:02 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GTX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
7
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Cyrus Capital Partners, …
SELL
350566 shares
2025-09-11
Cyrus Capital Partners, …
SELL
239612 shares
2025-09-10
Cyrus Capital Partners, …
SELL
23225 shares
2025-09-09
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