HDL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HDL - SUPER HI INTERNATIONAL HOLDING LTD. American Depositary Shares
$13.74
-1.08 (-7.32%)
▼
5d:
+3.15%
30d:
-3.58%
90d:
-13.86%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 20, 2026
TODAY
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: HDL shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: HDL shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$28.54
Based on 12.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$17.72
22.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HDL is currently trading at $13.74, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $13.52 to $14.66. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 14.9) compared to its historical average (17.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.8% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HDL is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $13.11, while resistance sits at $14.82. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 7.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: HDL has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $18.60 (+35.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HDL is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $13.11, while resistance sits at $14.82. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 7.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: HDL has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $18.60 (+35.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$13.52 -
$14.66
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
52.4%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-7.3%)
- BULLISH: Trading 35.4% below Wall St target ($18.60)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$13.52 -
$14.66
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$13.11
Resistance Level
$14.83
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
May 18, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.93
Wall Street Target
$18.60
(+35.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
10.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-83.3%
Profit Margin
4.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
14.9 vs 17.3
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$13.08
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$12.45
(-9%)
3-Year Target
$11.85
(-14%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→17)
$13.73
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: 21.1%)
$36.07
(+163%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.9, Growth: 21.1%)
$24.37
(+77%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.7, Growth: 21.1%)
$20.72
(+51%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (25x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 24.71 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.60
Bull Case
$25.00
(+82%)
Analyst growth 53.3%, PE expands to 27.2
Base Case
$22.73
(+65%)
Market implied 53.3%, PE stable at 24.7
Bear Case
$10.08
(-27%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 21.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 14.9 to 17.3
Stabilization Target:
$15.92
(+15.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+15.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 18, 2026 8:59 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:59 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:59 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HDL showing a specific setup today?
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