HEI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HEI - HEICO Corporation
$297.15
5.35 (1.83%)
▲
5d:
+2.61%
30d:
+1.64%
90d:
-9.53%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 27, 2026
11d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: HEI shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: HEI shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$235.58
Based on 8.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$146.28
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HEI is currently trading at $297.15, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $270.08 to $294.12. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 46.8) is in line with its historical norms (50.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 12.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HEI is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $301.10. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: HEI has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $354.11 (+19.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HEI is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $301.10. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: HEI has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $354.11 (+19.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$270.08 -
$294.12
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
59.5%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($354.11)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$270.08 -
$294.12
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$264.96
Resistance Level
$301.10
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
May 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
46.78
Wall Street Target
$354.11
(+19.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
14.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
12.5%
Profit Margin
15.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
46.8 vs 50.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$289.13
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$281.32
(-5%)
3-Year Target
$273.72
(-8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 47→51)
$297.24
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 46.8, Growth: 12.5%)
$423.21
(+42%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.0, Growth: 12.5%)
$199.39
(-33%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.7, Growth: 12.5%)
$169.48
(-43%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (58x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (47x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 57.78 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.05
Bull Case
$403.73
(+36%)
Analyst growth 25.8%, PE expands to 63.6
Base Case
$367.03
(+24%)
Market implied 25.8%, PE stable at 57.8
Bear Case
$198.42
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 49.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 46.8 to 50.8
Stabilization Target:
$322.68
(+8.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+8.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 14, 2026 9:18 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:18 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:18 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is HEI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Julie Neitzel
SELL
676 shares
2026-04-15
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