HGBL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

HGBL - HERITAGE GLOBAL INC

SERVICES-BUSINESS SERVICES, NEC
$1.26
-0.01 (-0.79%) ▼
5d: -0.79%
30d: +3.28%
90d: +5.0%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: HGBL shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: HGBL is currently trading at $1.26, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $1.20 to $1.29. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 7.6) is in line with its historical norms (7.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.0% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, HGBL is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $1.20, while resistance sits at $1.36.

Market Sentiment: HGBL has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $3.33 (+163.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Historical Trading Range $1.20 - $1.29
Company Quality Score 62/100 (BUY)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 86.7%

All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 163.9% below Wall St target ($3.33)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 1.0% growth with -5.5% revenue growth

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $1.20 - $1.29
Current vs Trading Range FAIR

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $1.20
Resistance Level $1.36
Current Trend Downtrend
Technical data as of Jun 9, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 7.64
Wall Street Target $3.33 (+163.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -5.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -33.3%
Profit Margin 6.5%
Valuation Premium vs History +1.0% premium
PE vs Historical 7.6 vs 7.4 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +1.0% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $1.27 (+1%)
2-Year Target $1.29 (+2%)
3-Year Target $1.30 (+3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 8→7) PE COMPRESSION $1.26 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 21.8, Growth: 22.2%) $6.56 (+421%)
Base: (SPY PE: 7.6, Growth: 22.2%) $2.30 (+83%)
Bear: (PE: 6.5, Growth: 22.2%) $1.96 (+55%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 14.44 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.09
Bull Case $2.62 (+106%)
Analyst growth 83.3%, PE expands to 15.9
Base Case $2.38 (+88%)
Market implied 83.3%, PE stable at 14.4
Bear Case $0.88 (-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: June 15, 2026 5:46 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:46 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
James Edward Sklar SELL 3734 shares 2026-04-01

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