HIPO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HIPO - Hippo Holdings Inc.
$26.05
-0.68 (-2.54%)
▼
5d:
-4.61%
30d:
-6.63%
90d:
-7.82%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 30, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: HIPO trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -5.0% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: HIPO trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -5.0% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$58.97
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$36.62
28.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HIPO is currently trading at $26.05, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $26.43 to $28.47. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 9.7) compared to its historical average (11.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.0% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HIPO is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $25.95. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $38.25 (+46.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HIPO is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $25.95. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $38.25 (+46.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$26.43 -
$28.47
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 46.8% below Wall St target ($38.25)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$26.43 -
$28.47
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$25.95
Resistance Level
$28.73
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.72
Wall Street Target
$38.25
(+46.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-86.3%
Profit Margin
23.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.7 vs 11.3
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$24.75
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$23.51
(-10%)
3-Year Target
$22.33
(-14%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→11)
$25.96
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: 41.8%)
$168.64
(+547%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.7, Growth: 41.8%)
$74.27
(+185%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.3, Growth: 41.8%)
$63.13
(+142%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 6.00 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.40
Bull Case
$17.67
(-32%)
Analyst growth -39.1%, PE expands to 6.6
Base Case
$16.07
(-38%)
Market implied -39.1%, PE stable at 6.0
Bear Case
$17.94
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 5.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.7 to 11.3
Stabilization Target:
$30.28
(+16.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+16.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 16, 2026 9:07 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:07 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:07 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HIPO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
9
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Richard Mccathron
SELL
5000 shares
2026-04-09
Richard Mccathron
SELL
5000 shares
2026-03-09
Torben Ostergaard
SELL
600 shares
2026-02-25
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