HIPO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HIPO - Hippo Holdings Inc.
$28.93
-0.41 (-1.40%)
▼
5d:
+11.83%
30d:
+13.9%
90d:
+13.32%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: HIPO shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.2% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: HIPO shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.2% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$55.84
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$34.67
16.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HIPO is currently trading at $28.93, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $24.76 to $27.28. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.8) is in line with its historical norms (10.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.2% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HIPO is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $27.03. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: HIPO has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $38.25 (+32.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HIPO is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $27.03. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: HIPO has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $38.25 (+32.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$24.76 -
$27.28
Company Quality Score
62/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
60.5%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+6.0% above its trading range)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 32.2% below Wall St target ($38.25)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.2% growth with 8.9% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$24.76 -
$27.28
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$24.08
Resistance Level
$27.03
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.79
Wall Street Target
$38.25
(+32.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-86.3%
Profit Margin
23.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.2% premium
PE vs Historical
10.8 vs 10.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$28.99
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$29.05
(+0%)
3-Year Target
$29.10
(+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→11)
PE COMPRESSION
$28.85
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 41.8%)
$166.42
(+475%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.8, Growth: 41.8%)
$82.48
(+185%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.2, Growth: 41.8%)
$70.11
(+142%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 6.67 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.40
Bull Case
$19.66
(-32%)
Analyst growth -39.1%, PE expands to 7.3
Base Case
$17.87
(-38%)
Market implied -39.1%, PE stable at 6.7
Bear Case
$19.95
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 5.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 03, 2026 8:53 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:53 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:53 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HIPO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
6
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Richard Mccathron
SELL
5000 shares
2026-04-09
Richard Mccathron
SELL
5000 shares
2026-03-09
Torben Ostergaard
SELL
600 shares
2026-02-25
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