HZO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HZO - MarineMax, Inc.
$34.01
0.66 (1.98%)
▲
5d:
+3.5%
30d:
+19.92%
90d:
+19.84%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 23, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: HZO trades at premium valuation expecting 9.2% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
📊 HOLD: HZO trades at premium valuation expecting 9.2% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$50.80
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$31.54
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HZO is currently trading at $34.01, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $27.82 to $31.98. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 21.0) compared to its historical average (16.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 9.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HZO is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $34.61. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: HZO has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HZO is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $34.61. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: HZO has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$27.82 -
$31.98
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
51.4%
Protect Your Profits
Holding HZO? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+6.3% above its trading range)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($35.29)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 9.2% growth which is achievable
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$27.82 -
$31.98
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$27.50
Resistance Level
$34.61
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
20.99
Wall Street Target
$35.29
(+3.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-16.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
100.0%
Profit Margin
-2.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+9.2% premium
PE vs Historical
21.0 vs 16.1
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+9.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$37.14
(+9%)
2-Year Target
$40.56
(+19%)
3-Year Target
$44.29
(+30%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 21→16)
PE COMPRESSION
$33.97
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.0, Growth: 123.8%)
$120.53
(+254%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.0, Growth: 123.8%)
$114.78
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.1, Growth: 123.8%)
$88.05
(+159%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 14, 2026 9:59 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:59 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:59 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HZO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced HZO Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's HZO price and gamma walls.
