IAG Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
IAG - IAMGold Corporation
$16.98
-1.49 (-8.07%)
▼
5d:
-9.2%
30d:
-10.16%
90d:
-21.5%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 07, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: IAG shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: IAG shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$25.74
Based on 3.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$15.98
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: IAG is currently trading at $16.98, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $16.94 to $19.53. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 6.8) compared to its historical average (8.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 8.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 822.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, IAG is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $16.16, while resistance sits at $19.59. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 8.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $26.30 (+54.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, IAG is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $16.16, while resistance sits at $19.59. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 8.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $26.30 (+54.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$16.94 -
$19.53
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-8.1%)
- BULLISH: Trading 54.9% below Wall St target ($26.30)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -9.2% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$16.94 -
$19.53
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$16.16
Resistance Level
$19.59
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
6.81
Wall Street Target
$26.30
(+54.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
115.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
822.9%
Profit Margin
29.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-8.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
6.8 vs 8.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-8.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$15.50
(-9%)
2-Year Target
$14.15
(-17%)
3-Year Target
$12.92
(-24%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→9)
$16.90
(-1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: 2.0%)
$58.44
(+244%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 6.8, Growth: 2.0%)
$18.02
(+6%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.8, Growth: 2.0%)
$15.32
(-10%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (11x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (7x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 10.99 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.71
Bull Case
$30.15
(+78%)
Analyst growth 45.9%, PE expands to 12.1
Base Case
$27.41
(+61%)
Market implied 45.9%, PE stable at 11.0
Bear Case
$12.78
(-25%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 6.8 to 8.9
Stabilization Target:
$22.20
(+30.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+30.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 16, 2026 1:08 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:08 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:08 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
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Technical Signals Check
Is IAG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
David Stewart Smith
SELL
31000 shares
2026-02-27
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