IBKR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

IBKR - Interactive Brokers Group, Inc. Class A Common Stock

SECURITY BROKERS, DEALERS & FLOTATION COMPANIES
$88.28
3.16 (3.71%) ▲
5d: +5.46%
30d: +10.78%
90d: +20.83%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Protect Your IBKR Gains
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 14, 2026
Smart Money Distribution

None View Scanner →

Strength: 6.5/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: IBKR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.5% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$110.54
Based on 9.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$68.64
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: IBKR is currently trading at $88.28, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $73.84 to $84.23. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 30.9) compared to its historical average (27.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.5% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, IBKR is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $87.37. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.7% recently.

Market Sentiment: IBKR has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $73.84 - $84.23
Company Quality Score 56/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 62.9%

Protect Your Profits

IBKR is technically overbought (RSI 71). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.

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All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.7%)
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($86.00)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 4.5% annual earnings growth - fairly valued

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $73.84 - $84.23
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $78.92
Resistance Level $87.37
Current Trend Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of May 14, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 30.91
Wall Street Target $86.00 (-2.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 16.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 22.9%
Profit Margin 16.1%
Valuation Premium vs History +4.5% premium
PE vs Historical 30.9 vs 27.1 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +4.5% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $92.25 (+5%)
2-Year Target $96.40 (+9%)
3-Year Target $100.74 (+14%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 31→27) PE COMPRESSION $88.31 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 30.9, Growth: 14.4%) $132.15 (+50%)
Base: (SPY PE: 22.0, Growth: 14.4%) $94.21 (+7%)
Bear: (PE: 18.7, Growth: 14.4%) $80.08 (-9%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (36x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (31x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 36.38 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.34
Bull Case $114.26 (+29%)
Analyst growth 22.0%, PE expands to 40.0
Base Case $103.88 (+18%)
Market implied 22.0%, PE stable at 36.4
Bear Case $57.88 (-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 30.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: May 15, 2026 12:09 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:09 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
6
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Lori A Conkling BUY 25 shares 2026-04-01
Ro Khanna SELL 2026-02-24
Ro Khanna SELL 2026-02-05

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Advanced IBKR Option Strategies

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