IBKR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
IBKR - Interactive Brokers Group, Inc. Class A Common Stock
$95.99
4.66 (5.10%)
▲
5d:
+6.87%
30d:
+10.14%
90d:
+41.7%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 6, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 21, 2026
13d
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 7.0/10
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1 traders called IBKR this week
0% bullish • 1 bearish
0% bullish • 1 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: IBKR trades at premium valuation expecting 5.7% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
📊 HOLD: IBKR trades at premium valuation expecting 5.7% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$112.82
Based on 9.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$70.05
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: IBKR is currently trading at $95.99, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $86.37 to $93.93. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 33.1) compared to its historical average (28.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 5.7% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, IBKR is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $91.02. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 5.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, IBKR is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $91.02. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 5.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$86.37 -
$93.93
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
47.6%
Protect Your Profits
Holding IBKR? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+5.1%)
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($89.82)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 5.7% growth which is achievable
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$86.37 -
$93.93
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$79.12
Resistance Level
$91.02
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
33.08
Wall Street Target
$89.82
(-6.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
16.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
22.9%
Profit Margin
16.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+5.7% premium
PE vs Historical
33.1 vs 28.0
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+5.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$101.46
(+6%)
2-Year Target
$107.24
(+12%)
3-Year Target
$113.36
(+18%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 33→28)
PE COMPRESSION
$95.94
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 33.1, Growth: 14.6%)
$144.50
(+51%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 14.6%)
$95.13
(-1%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 14.6%)
$80.86
(-16%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (41x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (33x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 40.67 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.33
Bull Case
$129.81
(+35%)
Analyst growth 24.5%, PE expands to 44.7
Base Case
$118.01
(+23%)
Market implied 24.5%, PE stable at 40.7
Bear Case
$64.44
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 34.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 07, 2026 1:50 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:50 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:50 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is IBKR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
6
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Lori A Conkling
BUY
25 shares
2026-04-01
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-02-24
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-02-05
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