ICL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ICL - ICL Group Ltd.
$6.41
-0.16 (-2.44%)
▼
5d:
+0.63%
30d:
+20.26%
90d:
+11.87%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 13, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: ICL trades at premium valuation expecting 6.1% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
📊 HOLD: ICL trades at premium valuation expecting 6.1% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$7.42
Based on 6.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$4.61
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ICL is currently trading at $6.41, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $5.11 to $6.05. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 14.9) compared to its historical average (12.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 6.1% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ICL is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $5.49, while resistance sits at $6.97.
Market Sentiment: ICL has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ICL is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $5.49, while resistance sits at $6.97.
Market Sentiment: ICL has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$5.11 -
$6.05
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
49.0%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+6.0% above its trading range)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($5.97)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 6.1% growth which is achievable
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$5.11 -
$6.05
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$5.49
Resistance Level
$6.97
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.92
Wall Street Target
$5.98
(-6.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
14.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
39.5%
Profit Margin
3.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+6.1% premium
PE vs Historical
14.9 vs 12.5
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+6.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$6.80
(+6%)
2-Year Target
$7.22
(+13%)
3-Year Target
$7.66
(+19%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→13)
PE COMPRESSION
$6.41
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: 9.4%)
$12.42
(+94%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.9, Growth: 9.4%)
$8.40
(+31%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.5, Growth: 9.4%)
$7.03
(+10%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (30x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 30.48 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.21
Bull Case
$14.08
(+120%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 33.5
Base Case
$12.80
(+100%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 30.5
Bear Case
$4.35
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 25.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 18, 2026 9:12 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:12 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:12 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ICL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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