ICL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ICL - ICL Group Ltd.
$5.03
0.00 (0.00%)
▲
5d:
+1.0%
30d:
-19.0%
90d:
-4.01%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: ICL shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: ICL shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$7.48
Based on 5.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$4.64
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ICL is currently trading at $5.03, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $5.05 to $6.23. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 11.2) compared to its historical average (12.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 39.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ICL is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $5.51. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: ICL has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $6.45 (+28.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ICL is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $5.51. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: ICL has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $6.45 (+28.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$5.05 -
$6.23
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 28.2% below Wall St target ($6.45)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$5.05 -
$6.23
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$5.51
Resistance Level
$6.79
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.18
Wall Street Target
$6.45
(+28.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
14.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
39.5%
Profit Margin
3.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.2 vs 12.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$4.83
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$4.65
(-8%)
3-Year Target
$4.46
(-11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→13)
$5.03
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 7.4%)
$12.16
(+142%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.2, Growth: 7.4%)
$6.24
(+24%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.5, Growth: 7.4%)
$5.30
(+5%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (24x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 23.95 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.21
Bull Case
$11.07
(+120%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 26.4
Base Case
$10.06
(+100%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 24.0
Bear Case
$3.42
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 20.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.2 to 12.6
Stabilization Target:
$5.67
(+12.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+12.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 04, 2026 12:52 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:52 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:52 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ICL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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