IIIN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
IIIN - Insteel Industries, Inc.
$25.57
-0.12 (-0.47%)
▼
5d:
-5.3%
30d:
-2.48%
90d:
-31.47%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 18, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 16, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: IIIN shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: IIIN shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$49.48
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$30.72
16.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: IIIN is currently trading at $25.57, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $23.84 to $32.18. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.1) is in line with its historical norms (11.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.5% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, IIIN is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $25.50. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $37.00 (+44.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, IIIN is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $25.50. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $37.00 (+44.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$23.84 -
$32.18
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
82.9%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 44.0% below Wall St target ($37.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.5% growth with 7.5% revenue growth
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -5.3% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$23.84 -
$32.18
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$25.50
Resistance Level
$27.53
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
May 18, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.12
Wall Street Target
$37.00
(+44.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-48.5%
Profit Margin
6.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.5% premium
PE vs Historical
11.1 vs 11.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$25.82
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$25.95
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$26.08
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→11)
PE COMPRESSION
$25.79
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: 41.3%)
$143.78
(+460%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.1, Growth: 41.3%)
$72.45
(+182%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.5, Growth: 41.3%)
$61.58
(+140%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (12x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 12.33 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.17
Bull Case
$31.32
(+22%)
Analyst growth 6.5%, PE expands to 13.6
Base Case
$28.48
(+11%)
Market implied 6.5%, PE stable at 12.3
Bear Case
$18.19
(-29%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 18, 2026 4:21 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:21 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:21 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
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Technical Signals Check
Is IIIN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Richard Wagner
SELL
1679 shares
2026-02-26
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