IMO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
IMO - Imperial Oil Limited
$113.77
2.78 (2.50%)
▲
5d:
+0.43%
30d:
-8.56%
90d:
-11.78%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 31, 2026
26d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: IMO shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: IMO shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$98.88
Based on -7.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$61.40
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: IMO is currently trading at $113.77, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $113.45 to $123.72. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 10.2) compared to its historical average (13.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 8.8% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, IMO is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $117.80. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: IMO has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, IMO is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $117.80. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: IMO has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$113.45 -
$123.72
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
50.0%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($106.92)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$113.45 -
$123.72
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$117.80
Resistance Level
$127.68
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.23
Wall Street Target
$106.92
(-6.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-0.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-23.0%
Profit Margin
6.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-8.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.2 vs 13.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-8.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$103.76
(-9%)
2-Year Target
$94.63
(-17%)
3-Year Target
$86.30
(-24%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→14)
$113.92
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: -19.3%)
$176.64
(+55%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.2, Growth: -19.3%)
$82.94
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.7, Growth: -19.3%)
$70.50
(-38%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (27x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 26.68 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.16
Bull Case
$244.18
(+115%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 29.4
Base Case
$221.98
(+95%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 26.7
Bear Case
$75.47
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 22.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.2 to 13.5
Stabilization Target:
$150.19
(+32.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+32.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 03, 2026 10:14 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:14 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:14 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is IMO showing a specific setup today?
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