IMO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
IMO - Imperial Oil Limited
$138.42
3.69 (2.74%)
▲
5d:
+6.29%
30d:
+13.51%
90d:
+17.88%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 18, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 01, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: IMO shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: IMO shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$68.77
Based on -12.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$42.70
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: IMO is currently trading at $138.42, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $124.76 to $132.50. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 13.3) is in line with its historical norms (14.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.7% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, IMO is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $137.77. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: IMO has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $95.38. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, IMO is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $137.77. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: IMO has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $95.38. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$124.76 -
$132.50
Company Quality Score
67/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
52.4%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading 29.2% above Wall St target ($95.38)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$124.76 -
$132.50
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$124.12
Resistance Level
$137.77
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 18, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.32
Wall Street Target
$95.38
(-29.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-0.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-23.0%
Profit Margin
6.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
13.3 vs 14.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$132.44
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$130.19
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$127.97
(-5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→14)
$134.51
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: -29.3%)
$162.74
(+21%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.3, Growth: -29.3%)
$98.22
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.3, Growth: -29.3%)
$83.49
(-38%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (31x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 30.79 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.30
Bull Case
$291.26
(+116%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 33.9
Base Case
$264.78
(+97%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 30.8
Bear Case
$90.03
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 26.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.3 to 14.0
Stabilization Target:
$141.61
(+5.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+5.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 18, 2026 2:03 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:03 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:03 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is IMO showing a specific setup today?
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