IOSP Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
IOSP - Innospec Inc.
$78.15
-1.85 (-2.31%)
▼
5d:
-2.98%
30d:
+4.08%
90d:
-9.74%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 07, 2026
0d
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1 traders called IOSP this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: IOSP shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly high pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: IOSP shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly high pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$156.25
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$97.02
19.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: IOSP is currently trading at $78.15, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $75.26 to $78.85. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.8) is in line with its historical norms (13.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.8% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, IOSP is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $75.13, while resistance sits at $82.61.
Market Sentiment: IOSP has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $99.33 (+27.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, IOSP is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $75.13, while resistance sits at $82.61.
Market Sentiment: IOSP has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $99.33 (+27.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$75.26 -
$78.85
Company Quality Score
60/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
76.2%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 27.1% below Wall St target ($99.33)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$75.26 -
$78.85
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$75.13
Resistance Level
$82.61
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.76
Wall Street Target
$99.33
(+27.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-6.9%
Profit Margin
6.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
12.8 vs 13.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$77.52
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$76.90
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$76.29
(-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→13)
$78.33
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: 27.1%)
$277.39
(+255%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.8, Growth: 27.1%)
$160.36
(+105%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.8, Growth: 27.1%)
$136.31
(+74%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (17x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 17.47 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.58
Bull Case
$117.69
(+51%)
Analyst growth 33.7%, PE expands to 19.2
Base Case
$106.99
(+37%)
Market implied 33.7%, PE stable at 17.5
Bear Case
$54.40
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.8 to 13.1
Stabilization Target:
$80.24
(+2.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+2.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 18, 2026 8:29 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:29 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:29 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is IOSP showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
7
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
David B Jones
SELL
1028 shares
2026-03-03
Claudia Poccia
SELL
119 shares
2026-02-27
David Landless
SELL
594 shares
2026-02-27
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