IQ Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
IQ - iQIYI, Inc. American Depositary Shares
$1.16
-0.02 (-1.69%)
▼
5d:
-3.33%
30d:
-17.14%
90d:
-35.56%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 18, 2026
1d
Smart Money Accumulation
IQ is down 4.1% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $1.5 2026-06-18 with 16,140 OI. Call ratio: 64% View Scanner →
Strength: 3.4/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: IQ trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -7.7% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: IQ trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -7.7% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$2.85
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$1.77
34.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 1.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: IQ is currently trading at $1.16, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $1.16 to $1.34. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 1.2) compared to its historical average (1.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.7% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, IQ is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $1.13. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $1.81 (+55.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, IQ is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $1.13. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $1.81 (+55.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$1.16 -
$1.34
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 55.7% below Wall St target ($1.81)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$1.16 -
$1.34
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$1.13
Resistance Level
$1.26
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
1.19
Wall Street Target
$1.81
(+55.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-72.3%
Profit Margin
-0.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-7.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
1.2 vs 1.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-7.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$1.07
(-8%)
2-Year Target
$0.99
(-15%)
3-Year Target
$0.91
(-21%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 1→2)
$1.15
(-1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: 75.6%)
$72.76
(+6172%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 1.2, Growth: 75.6%)
$3.91
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 1.0, Growth: 75.6%)
$3.33
(+187%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 1.2 to 1.5
Stabilization Target:
$1.47
(+26.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+26.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 15, 2026 10:12 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:12 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:12 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is IQ showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced IQ Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's IQ price and gamma walls.
