IR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
IR - Ingersoll Rand Inc. Common Stock
$70.35
-1.47 (-2.05%)
▼
5d:
-7.13%
30d:
-15.92%
90d:
-28.59%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 06, 2026
0d
Smart Money Accumulation
IR is down 7.3% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $105 2026-06-18 with 1,573 OI. Call ratio: 65% View Scanner →
Strength: 5.2/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: IR shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: IR shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$121.23
Based on 6.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$75.27
6.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 22.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: IR is currently trading at $70.35, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $75.28 to $85.57. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 18.3) compared to its historical average (22.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 6.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, IR is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $70.26. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: IR has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $94.00 (+33.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, IR is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $70.26. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: IR has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $94.00 (+33.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$75.28 -
$85.57
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding IR? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 33.6% below Wall St target ($94.00)
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-7.1%) - monitor closely
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$75.28 -
$85.57
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$70.26
Resistance Level
$80.13
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.29
Wall Street Target
$94.00
(+33.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
6.5%
Profit Margin
7.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
18.3 vs 22.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$65.50
(-7%)
2-Year Target
$60.98
(-13%)
3-Year Target
$56.77
(-19%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18→23)
$70.14
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: 9.8%)
$112.37
(+60%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.3, Growth: 9.8%)
$93.14
(+32%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.5, Growth: 9.8%)
$79.17
(+13%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (49x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (18x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 48.53 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.48
Bull Case
$158.00
(+125%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 53.4
Base Case
$143.64
(+104%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 48.5
Bear Case
$48.84
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 41.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 18.3 to 22.6
Stabilization Target:
$86.92
(+23.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+23.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 18, 2026 8:19 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:19 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:19 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is IR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
16
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Vicente Reynal
SELL
30492 shares
2026-04-13
Vicente Reynal
SELL
118044 shares
2026-03-02
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-02-24
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