IRDM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
IRDM - Iridium Communications Inc.
$43.43
0.34 (0.79%)
▲
5d:
+8.06%
30d:
+14.3%
90d:
+93.97%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 23, 2026
0d
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3 traders called IRDM this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: IRDM shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: IRDM shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$46.08
Based on 10.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$28.61
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: IRDM is currently trading at $43.43, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $35.84 to $42.21. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 30.5) compared to its historical average (20.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 14.7% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, IRDM is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $43.72. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $35.86. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, IRDM is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $43.72. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $35.86. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$35.84 -
$42.21
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
44.8%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading 17.4% above Wall St target ($35.86)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 14.7% growth with 1.9% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$35.84 -
$42.21
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$38.26
Resistance Level
$43.72
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
30.48
Wall Street Target
$35.86
(-17.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-25.9%
Profit Margin
12.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+14.7% premium
PE vs Historical
30.5 vs 20.2
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+14.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$49.81
(+15%)
2-Year Target
$57.14
(+32%)
3-Year Target
$65.54
(+51%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 30→20)
PE COMPRESSION
$43.44
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 30.5, Growth: 15.9%)
$67.53
(+56%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.0, Growth: 15.9%)
$48.84
(+13%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.7, Growth: 15.9%)
$41.51
(-4%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (44x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (30x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 43.53 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.99
Bull Case
$68.23
(+57%)
Analyst growth 43.9%, PE expands to 47.9
Base Case
$62.02
(+43%)
Market implied 43.9%, PE stable at 43.5
Bear Case
$29.30
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 37.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 14, 2026 8:37 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:37 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:37 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is IRDM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Timothy Kapalka
SELL
2043 shares
2026-04-06
Timothy Kapalka
SELL
3790 shares
2026-04-02
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