JBI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
JBI - Janus International Group, Inc.
$6.86
-0.02 (-0.29%)
▼
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 25, 2026
25d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: JBI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.6% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: JBI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.6% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$9.32
Based on 6.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$5.79
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: JBI is currently trading at $6.86, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $6.71 to $7.05. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.8) is in line with its historical norms (10.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.6% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, JBI is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $6.71. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $9.30 (+35.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, JBI is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $6.71. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $9.30 (+35.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$6.71 -
$7.05
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
39th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
72.7%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 39th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 35.2% below Wall St target ($9.30)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.6% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$6.71 -
$7.05
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$0.72
(10.5%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$6.71
Resistance Level
$7.28
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.83
Wall Street Target
$9.30
(+35.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-4.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
36.8%
Profit Margin
5.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.6% premium
PE vs Historical
10.8 vs 10.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$6.92
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$6.96
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$7.00
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→11)
PE COMPRESSION
$6.85
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 9.5%)
$18.58
(+170%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.8, Growth: 9.5%)
$9.03
(+31%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.2, Growth: 9.5%)
$7.67
(+12%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (20x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 20.26 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.34
Bull Case
$14.15
(+106%)
Analyst growth 86.8%, PE expands to 22.3
Base Case
$12.87
(+87%)
Market implied 86.8%, PE stable at 20.3
Bear Case
$4.69
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 30, 2026 5:42 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:42 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:42 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is JBI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced JBI Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's JBI price and gamma walls.
