JHX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
JHX - James Hardie Industries plc
$20.71
0.24 (1.17%)
▲
5d:
+0.0%
30d:
-0.19%
90d:
-12.39%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 7, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 19, 2026
10d
Get Alerted When JHX Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: JHX shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.2% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: JHX shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.2% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$31.62
Based on 9.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$19.63
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: JHX is currently trading at $20.71, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $19.34 to $21.83. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 16.4) is in line with its historical norms (16.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.2% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, JHX is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $19.60, while resistance sits at $22.44.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $29.36 (+43.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, JHX is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $19.60, while resistance sits at $22.44.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $29.36 (+43.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$19.34 -
$21.83
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
72.4%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 43.4% below Wall St target ($29.36)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$19.34 -
$21.83
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$19.60
Resistance Level
$22.44
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
May 7, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.39
Wall Street Target
$29.36
(+43.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
30.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-64.1%
Profit Margin
2.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
16.4 vs 16.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$20.43
(0%)
2-Year Target
$20.39
(0%)
3-Year Target
$20.35
(-1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→17)
$20.48
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.9, Growth: 14.0%)
$40.59
(+98%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.4, Growth: 14.0%)
$30.33
(+48%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.9, Growth: 14.0%)
$25.78
(+26%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 15.90 | Forward EPS (Implied): $1.29
Bull Case
$24.72
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 16.7
Base Case
$20.47
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 15.9
Bear Case
$15.66
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 14.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 16.4 to 16.5
Stabilization Target:
$20.60
(+0.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+0.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 08, 2026 10:25 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:25 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:25 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is JHX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Building Materials Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Building Materials by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
VMC
Vulcan Materials Company |
STRONG BUY
24 analysts |
$329 | 60 BUY |
|
CRH
CRH PLC ADR |
STRONG BUY
23 analysts |
$143 | 56 HOLD |
|
MLM
Martin Marietta Material… |
BUY
23 analysts |
$691 | 58 HOLD |
|
CX
Cemex SAB de CV ADR |
BUY
14 analysts |
$14 | 58 HOLD |
|
KNF
Knife River Corporation |
STRONG BUY
9 analysts |
$103 | 57 HOLD |
