KHC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

KHC - The Kraft Heinz Company Common Stock

CANNED, FROZEN & PRESERVD FRUIT, VEG & FOOD SPECIALTIES
$25.37
0.36 (1.44%) ▲
5d: +8.1%
30d: +8.74%
90d: +13.92%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026 24d
Smart Money Distribution

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Strength: 9.0/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: KHC trades at premium valuation expecting 5.0% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$25.34
Based on 2.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$15.74
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.5x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: KHC is currently trading at $25.37, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $22.83 to $24.40. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 12.1) compared to its historical average (10.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 5.0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, KHC is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $24.71. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: KHC has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $22.83 - $24.40
Company Quality Score 63/100 (BUY)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 53.8%

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All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($23.74)
  • NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 5.0% growth which is achievable

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $22.83 - $24.40
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $22.15
Resistance Level $24.71
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Jun 9, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 12.12
Wall Street Target $23.74 (-6.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 0.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 13.6%
Profit Margin -23.1%
Valuation Premium vs History +5.0% premium
PE vs Historical 12.1 vs 10.5 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +5.0% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $26.64 (+5%)
2-Year Target $27.97 (+10%)
3-Year Target $29.37 (+16%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 12→11) PE COMPRESSION $25.44 (+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 21.8, Growth: 1.8%) $48.12 (+90%)
Base: (SPY PE: 12.1, Growth: 1.8%) $26.78 (+6%)
Bear: (PE: 10.3, Growth: 1.8%) $22.77 (-10%)
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Last updated: July 03, 2026 9:05 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:05 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
5
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna BUY 2026-03-23
Cory Onell SELL 4991 shares 2026-03-03
Cory Onell SELL 9045 shares 2026-03-02

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