KHC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

KHC - The Kraft Heinz Company Common Stock

CANNED, FROZEN & PRESERVD FRUIT, VEG & FOOD SPECIALTIES
$22.95
0.02 (0.11%) ▲
5d: -1.35%
30d: +2.11%
90d: -3.51%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 06, 2026 0d
Smart Money Distribution

None View Scanner →

Strength: 7.6/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: KHC shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$25.17
Based on 3.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$15.63
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.2x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: KHC is currently trading at $22.95, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $22.10 to $23.22. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.9) is in line with its historical norms (10.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, KHC is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $22.02, while resistance sits at $24.15.

Market Sentiment: KHC has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Historical Trading Range $22.10 - $23.22
Company Quality Score 60/100 (BUY)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 79.5%

All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($23.87)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.0% annual earnings growth - fairly valued

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $22.10 - $23.22
Current vs Trading Range FAIR

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $22.02
Resistance Level $24.15
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of May 18, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 10.87
Wall Street Target $23.87 (+4.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 0.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 13.6%
Profit Margin -23.1%
Valuation Premium vs History +2.0% premium
PE vs Historical 10.9 vs 10.2 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +2.0% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $23.38 (+2%)
2-Year Target $23.85 (+4%)
3-Year Target $24.32 (+6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 11→10) PE COMPRESSION $22.82 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.1, Growth: 2.4%) $49.94 (+118%)
Base: (SPY PE: 10.9, Growth: 2.4%) $24.60 (+7%)
Bear: (PE: 9.2, Growth: 2.4%) $20.91 (-9%)
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Last updated: May 18, 2026 1:15 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:15 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
6
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna BUY 2026-03-23
Cory Onell SELL 4991 shares 2026-03-03
Cory Onell SELL 9045 shares 2026-03-02

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