KRT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
KRT - Karat Packaging Inc. Common Stock
$34.25
0.42 (1.24%)
▲
5d:
+10.2%
30d:
+24.91%
90d:
+20.94%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: KRT is 7.8% above its trading range ($31.76). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: KRT is 7.8% above its trading range ($31.76). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$62.94
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$39.08
12.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: KRT is currently trading at $34.25, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $27.52 to $31.76. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 14.1) is in line with its historical norms (13.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.1% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KRT is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $29.81. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: KRT has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KRT is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $29.81. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: KRT has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$27.52 -
$31.76
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
51.0%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+7.8% above its trading range)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($31.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.1% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$27.52 -
$31.76
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$26.54
Resistance Level
$29.81
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.09
Wall Street Target
$31.00
(-9.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
12.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
5.6%
Profit Margin
6.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.1% premium
PE vs Historical
14.1 vs 13.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$34.97
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$35.70
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$36.45
(+6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→13)
PE COMPRESSION
$34.40
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 33.5%)
$125.97
(+268%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.1, Growth: 33.5%)
$81.52
(+138%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.0, Growth: 33.5%)
$69.29
(+102%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (21x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 21.41 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.58
Bull Case
$57.23
(+67%)
Analyst growth 53.8%, PE expands to 23.6
Base Case
$52.03
(+52%)
Market implied 53.8%, PE stable at 21.4
Bear Case
$23.00
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 04, 2026 5:16 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:16 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:16 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is KRT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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