KRT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
KRT - Karat Packaging Inc. Common Stock
$26.77
0.53 (2.02%)
▲
5d:
-4.63%
30d:
-6.89%
90d:
+3.8%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 07, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: KRT trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -6.8% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: KRT trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -6.8% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$64.36
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$39.96
33.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: KRT is currently trading at $26.77, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $27.71 to $29.74. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 11.0) compared to its historical average (13.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 5.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KRT is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $26.05. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $31.50 (+17.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KRT is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $26.05. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $31.50 (+17.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$27.71 -
$29.74
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($31.50)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$27.71 -
$29.74
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$26.05
Resistance Level
$30.93
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.02
Wall Street Target
$31.50
(+17.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
12.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
5.6%
Profit Margin
6.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.0 vs 13.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$24.95
(-7%)
2-Year Target
$23.25
(-13%)
3-Year Target
$21.67
(-19%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→14)
$26.75
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: 33.5%)
$127.65
(+377%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.0, Growth: 33.5%)
$63.72
(+138%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.4, Growth: 33.5%)
$54.16
(+102%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (17x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 16.61 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.58
Bull Case
$44.39
(+66%)
Analyst growth 53.8%, PE expands to 18.3
Base Case
$40.36
(+51%)
Market implied 53.8%, PE stable at 16.6
Bear Case
$17.84
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.0 to 13.6
Stabilization Target:
$33.05
(+23.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+23.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 16, 2026 4:17 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:17 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:17 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is KRT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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