LAZ Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
LAZ - Lazard, Inc.
$41.54
0.22 (0.53%)
▲
5d:
+2.26%
30d:
-14.86%
90d:
-1.02%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 23, 2026
18d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: LAZ shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: LAZ shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$95.17
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$59.09
29.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LAZ is currently trading at $41.54, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $41.53 to $47.55. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 9.3) compared to its historical average (11.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 62.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LAZ is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $45.68. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: LAZ has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $51.62 (+24.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LAZ is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $45.68. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: LAZ has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $51.62 (+24.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$41.53 -
$47.55
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 24.3% below Wall St target ($51.62)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$41.53 -
$47.55
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$45.68
Resistance Level
$50.58
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.35
Wall Street Target
$51.63
(+24.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
15.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
62.5%
Profit Margin
8.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.4 vs 11.0
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$39.38
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$37.33
(-10%)
3-Year Target
$35.39
(-15%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→11)
$41.64
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 55.2%)
$326.59
(+686%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.3, Growth: 55.2%)
$140.20
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.9, Growth: 55.2%)
$119.17
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 16.40 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.52
Bull Case
$80.13
(+93%)
Analyst growth 76.3%, PE expands to 18.0
Base Case
$72.85
(+75%)
Market implied 76.3%, PE stable at 16.4
Bear Case
$28.10
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.3 to 11.0
Stabilization Target:
$48.87
(+17.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+17.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 04, 2026 4:54 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:54 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:54 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is LAZ showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Christopher Hogbin
SELL
3944 shares
2026-03-19
Christopher Hogbin
SELL
7885 shares
2026-03-18
Peter Richard Orszag
SELL
69170 shares
2026-03-17
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