LKQ Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
LKQ - LKQ Corporation
$29.31
-0.06 (-0.20%)
ā¼
5d:
-0.61%
30d:
-9.03%
90d:
-4.87%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 23, 2026
20d
Smart Money Distribution
LKQ is up 3.3% this week, but smart money is buying puts. Top strike: $30 2026-05-15 with 6,755 OI. Put ratio: 73% View Scanner →
Strength: 3.9/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
ā BUY SIGNAL: LKQ shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
ā BUY SIGNAL: LKQ shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$44.09
Based on 6.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$27.38
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LKQ is currently trading at $29.31, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $28.85 to $32.20. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 8.8) is in line with its historical norms (9.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.9% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LKQ is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $29.99. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $40.94 (+39.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LKQ is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $29.99. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $40.94 (+39.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range
$28.85 -
$32.20
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 39.7% below Wall St target ($40.94)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$28.85 -
$32.20
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$27.64
Resistance Level
$29.99
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Apr 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.82
Wall Street Target
$40.94
(+39.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-57.7%
Profit Margin
4.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.8 vs 9.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$28.46
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$27.63
(-6%)
3-Year Target
$26.83
(-9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9ā10)
$29.21
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 9.4%)
$97.22
(+232%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.8, Growth: 9.4%)
$38.36
(+31%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.5, Growth: 9.4%)
$32.60
(+11%)
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Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (12x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 12.23 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.31
Bull Case
$44.73
(+55%)
Analyst growth 43.9%, PE expands to 13.5
Base Case
$40.66
(+41%)
Market implied 43.9%, PE stable at 12.2
Bear Case
$19.22
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.8 to 9.6
Stabilization Target:
$31.91
(+8.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+8.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 02, 2026 7:41 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:41 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:41 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is LKQ showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
NEUTRAL
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
BUY
2025-11-03
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Advanced LKQ Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's LKQ price and gamma walls.
