LMT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
LMT - Lockheed Martin Corp.
$545.91
24.09 (4.62%)
▲
5d:
+8.1%
30d:
+6.33%
90d:
-11.61%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 28, 2026
23d
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 8.2/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: LMT shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: LMT shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$764.68
Based on 5.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$474.81
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LMT is currently trading at $545.91, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $508.84 to $535.81. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 17.0) is in line with its historical norms (18.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.9% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LMT is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $545.99. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: LMT has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $617.05 (+13.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LMT is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $545.99. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: LMT has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $617.05 (+13.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$508.84 -
$535.81
Company Quality Score
63/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
92.9%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.6%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($617.05)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$508.84 -
$535.81
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$490.05
Resistance Level
$545.99
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jul 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.99
Wall Street Target
$617.05
(+13.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
0.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-11.5%
Profit Margin
6.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
17.0 vs 18.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$535.54
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$525.36
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$515.38
(-6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→18)
$546.05
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 7.5%)
$869.25
(+59%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.0, Growth: 7.5%)
$678.04
(+24%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.4, Growth: 7.5%)
$576.33
(+6%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (25x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 25.29 | Current EPS (TTM): $20.63
Bull Case
$894.06
(+64%)
Analyst growth 55.8%, PE expands to 27.8
Base Case
$812.79
(+49%)
Market implied 55.8%, PE stable at 25.3
Bear Case
$354.84
(-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 21.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 17.0 to 18.0
Stabilization Target:
$578.40
(+6.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+6.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 03, 2026 7:46 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:46 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:46 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is LMT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Stephanie C Hill
SELL
10 shares
2026-02-24
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