LOMA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

LOMA - Loma Negra Compañía Industrial Argentina Sociedad Anónima American Depositary Shares (ADSs), each representing five ordinary shares

Cement, Hydraulic
$10.95
-0.34 (-3.01%) ▼
5d: +5.39%
30d: -1.71%
90d: +1.3%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 13, 2026 0d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: LOMA appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -4.2% annual earnings decline despite 80% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$20.42
Based on 10.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$12.68
13.6% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.2x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: LOMA is currently trading at $10.95, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $10.64 to $11.39. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 13.4) compared to its historical average (15.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 80.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, LOMA is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $11.23. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.0% recently.

Market Sentiment: LOMA has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $14.70 (+34.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Historical Trading Range $10.64 - $11.39
Company Quality Score 62/100 (BUY)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 78.6%

All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.0%)
  • BULLISH: Trading 34.2% below Wall St target ($14.70)

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $10.64 - $11.39
Current vs Trading Range FAIR

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $10.33
Resistance Level $11.23
Current Trend Downtrend
Technical data as of May 21, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 13.40
Wall Street Target $14.70 (+34.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 26.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 80.3%
Profit Margin 4.2%
Valuation Discount vs History -4.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical 13.4 vs 15.2 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -4.2% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $10.49 (-4%)
2-Year Target $10.05 (-8%)
3-Year Target $9.63 (-12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 13→15) $10.92 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.0, Growth: 17.1%) $28.87 (+164%)
Base: (SPY PE: 13.4, Growth: 17.1%) $17.60 (+61%)
Bear: (PE: 11.4, Growth: 17.1%) $14.96 (+37%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 9.92 | Forward EPS (Implied): $1.10
Bull Case $13.22 (+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 10.4
Base Case $10.95 (0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 9.9
Bear Case $8.38 (-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 8.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.4 to 15.2
Stabilization Target: $12.42 (+13.4%)
PE Expansion Potential: +13.4%
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Last updated: May 25, 2026 1:31 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:31 AM
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
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NEUTRAL

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