LTM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
LTM - LATAM Airlines Group S.A. American Depositary Shares (each representing two thousand (2,000) shares of Common Stock)
$46.22
-1.77 (-3.69%)
▼
5d:
-6.85%
30d:
-17.7%
90d:
-14.41%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 05, 2026
Get Alerted When LTM Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: LTM shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: LTM shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$123.36
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$76.60
39.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LTM is currently trading at $46.22, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $47.34 to $55.13. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 6.8) compared to its historical average (9.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 10.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 87.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LTM is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $46.67. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $70.03 (+51.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LTM is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $46.67. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $70.03 (+51.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$47.34 -
$55.13
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.7%)
- BULLISH: Trading 51.5% below Wall St target ($70.03)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -6.9% 5-day decline
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$47.34 -
$55.13
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$46.67
Resistance Level
$51.22
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
6.77
Wall Street Target
$70.03
(+51.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
16.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
87.5%
Profit Margin
10.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-10.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
6.8 vs 9.3
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-10.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$41.60
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$37.44
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$33.69
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→9)
$46.28
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 24.9%)
$297.02
(+543%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 6.8, Growth: 24.9%)
$89.99
(+95%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.8, Growth: 24.9%)
$76.49
(+66%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (10x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (7x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 9.64 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.95
Bull Case
$71.41
(+44%)
Analyst growth 36.1%, PE expands to 10.6
Base Case
$64.91
(+31%)
Market implied 36.1%, PE stable at 9.6
Bear Case
$32.44
(-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 6.8 to 9.3
Stabilization Target:
$63.48
(+37.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+37.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 7:17 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:17 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:17 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is LTM showing a specific setup today?
Top Rated Airlines Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Airlines by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
DAL
Delta Air Lines Inc |
STRONG BUY
24 analysts |
$80 | 57 HOLD |
|
UAL
United Airlines Holdings… |
STRONG BUY
25 analysts |
$135 | 50 HOLD |
|
AAL
American Airlines Group |
BUY
24 analysts |
$16 | 55 HOLD |
|
CPA
Copa Holdings SA |
STRONG BUY
15 analysts |
$166 | 54 HOLD |
|
ALK
Alaska Air Group Inc |
STRONG BUY
16 analysts |
$66 | 38 SELL |
