LTM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
LTM - LATAM Airlines Group S.A. American Depositary Shares (each representing two thousand (2,000) shares of Common Stock)
$65.81
0.37 (0.57%)
▲
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Jan 30, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: LTM is fairly valued with market pricing in 2.1% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: LTM is fairly valued with market pricing in 2.1% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$98.42
Based on 10.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$61.11
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LTM is currently trading at $65.81, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $54.49 to $62.90. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.8) is in line with its historical norms (11.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.1% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LTM is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $67.44. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: LTM has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LTM is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $67.44. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: LTM has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$54.49 -
$62.90
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
55.7%
Protect Your Profits
LTM is technically overbought (RSI 77). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($61.60)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.1% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$54.49 -
$62.90
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$57.08
Resistance Level
$67.44
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.82
Wall Street Target
$61.60
(-5.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
17.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
31.0%
Profit Margin
9.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.1% premium
PE vs Historical
11.8 vs 11.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$66.81
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$68.22
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$69.65
(+6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→11)
PE COMPRESSION
$65.43
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 15.9%)
$192.49
(+194%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.8, Growth: 15.9%)
$102.00
(+56%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.0, Growth: 15.9%)
$86.70
(+33%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 15.78 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.19
Bull Case
$96.15
(+46%)
Analyst growth 32.2%, PE expands to 17.4
Base Case
$87.41
(+33%)
Market implied 32.2%, PE stable at 15.8
Bear Case
$44.97
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 31, 2026 2:03 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:03 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:03 AM
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