LUNR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

LUNR - Intuitive Machines, Inc. Class A Common Stock

SEARCH, DETECTION, NAVAGATION, GUIDANCE, AERONAUTICAL SYS
$29.12
5.00 (20.76%) ▲
5d: +13.64%
30d: +32.52%
90d: +66.18%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Protect Your LUNR Gains
Analysis Updated: May 8, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 12, 2026 3d
Smart Money Accumulation

LUNR is down 4.9% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $30 2026-06-18 with 9,077 OI. Call ratio: 71% View Scanner →

Strength: 4.6/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: LUNR shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$7.53
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$4.68
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: LUNR is currently trading at $29.11, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $21.78 to $27.50. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 112.1) compared to its historical average (263.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 24.8% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, LUNR is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $28.10. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 20.8% recently.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $21.78 - $27.50
Company Quality Score 61/100 (BUY)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 46.2%

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All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range (+5.9% above its trading range)
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+20.8%)
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($23.89)

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $21.78 - $27.50
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $22.75
Resistance Level $28.10
Current Trend Uptrend
Technical data as of May 8, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 112.14
Wall Street Target $23.89 (-0.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -18.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -81.0%
Profit Margin -39.6%
Valuation Discount vs History -24.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical 112.1 vs 263.6 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -24.8% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $21.70 (-10%)
2-Year Target $19.53 (-19%)
3-Year Target $17.58 (-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 112→264) $41.32 (+71%)
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 112.1 to 263.6
Stabilization Target: $56.67 (+135.1%)
PE Expansion Potential: +135.1%
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Last updated: May 08, 2026 2:38 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:38 PM
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Technical Signals Check

Is LUNR showing a specific setup today?

RSI Divergence Check TTM Squeeze Check MACD Crossover Check Gamma Walls Check Unusual Activity Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
20
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Kamal Seyed Ghaffarian SELL 141909 shares 2026-04-20
Peter Mcgrath SELL 24554 shares 2026-04-15
Stephen J Altemus SELL 13751 shares 2026-04-15

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Advanced LUNR Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's LUNR price and gamma walls.

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