LYB Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

LYB - LyondellBasell Industries N.V. Class A

INDUSTRIAL ORGANIC CHEMICALS
$53.36
0.78 (1.48%) ▲
5d: -4.44%
30d: -20.73%
90d: -30.44%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 07, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation

None View Scanner →

Strength: 9.8/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: LYB trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -15.7% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$51.53
Based on -9.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$32.00
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: LYB is currently trading at $53.36, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $56.56 to $67.08. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 7.8) compared to its historical average (13.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 15.7% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, LYB is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $62.02. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $74.47 (+39.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $56.56 - $67.08
Company Quality Score 61/100 (BUY)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 79.5%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 39.6% below Wall St target ($74.47)

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $56.56 - $67.08
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $62.02
Resistance Level $69.88
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Jun 9, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 7.76
Wall Street Target $74.47 (+39.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -6.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -29.5%
Profit Margin -2.7%
Valuation Discount vs History -15.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical 7.8 vs 13.0 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -15.7% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $48.02 (-10%)
2-Year Target $43.22 (-19%)
3-Year Target $38.90 (-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 8→13) $65.19 (+22%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 21.8, Growth: -23.8%) $109.23 (+105%)
Base: (SPY PE: 7.8, Growth: -23.8%) $38.90 (-27%)
Bear: (PE: 6.6, Growth: -23.8%) $33.06 (-38%)
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.8 to 13.0
Stabilization Target: $89.43 (+67.6%)
PE Expansion Potential: +67.6%
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Last updated: July 03, 2026 9:13 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:13 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ai Investments Holdings … SELL 842 shares 2026-03-09
Ai Investments Holdings … SELL 384548 shares 2026-03-09
Ro Khanna SELL 2026-01-29

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