LYB Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
LYB - LyondellBasell Industries N.V. Class A
$75.06
1.79 (2.44%)
▲
5d:
+4.6%
30d:
-0.31%
90d:
+30.29%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 01, 2026
0d
Smart Money Accumulation
LYB is down 4.4% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $85 2026-06-18 with 3,283 OI. Call ratio: 67% View Scanner →
Strength: 3.9/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: LYB shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 10.6% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: LYB shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 10.6% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$59.38
Based on -10.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$36.87
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LYB is currently trading at $75.06, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $70.58 to $76.15. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 10.2) compared to its historical average (14.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 10.6% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LYB is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $70.23, while resistance sits at $78.43.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LYB is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $70.23, while resistance sits at $78.43.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$70.58 -
$76.15
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
60.5%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($79.76)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$70.58 -
$76.15
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$70.23
Resistance Level
$78.43
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.16
Wall Street Target
$79.76
(+6.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-6.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-29.5%
Profit Margin
-2.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-10.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.2 vs 14.2
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-10.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$67.55
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$60.80
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$54.72
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→14)
$76.51
(+2%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: -24.4%)
$118.92
(+58%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.2, Growth: -24.4%)
$54.72
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.6, Growth: -24.4%)
$46.51
(-38%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.2 to 14.2
Stabilization Target:
$104.95
(+39.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+39.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 18, 2026 9:12 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:12 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:12 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is LYB showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ai Investments Holdings …
SELL
842 shares
2026-03-09
Ai Investments Holdings …
SELL
384548 shares
2026-03-09
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-01-29
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Advanced LYB Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's LYB price and gamma walls.
