LZB Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
LZB - La-Z-Boy Incorporated
$34.30
-0.63 (-1.80%)
▼
5d:
-4.0%
30d:
+0.56%
90d:
-10.54%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jun 16, 2026
30d
Smart Money Distribution
LZB is up 6.7% this week, but smart money is buying puts. Top strike: $30 2026-06-18 with 1 OI. Put ratio: 100% View Scanner →
Strength: 8.4/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: LZB shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.5% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: LZB shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.5% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$53.88
Based on 8.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$33.46
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LZB is currently trading at $34.30, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $33.50 to $35.95. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.3) is in line with its historical norms (11.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LZB is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $33.48. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $44.50 (+29.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LZB is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $33.48. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $44.50 (+29.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$33.50 -
$35.95
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
40th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
71.9%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 40th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 29.7% below Wall St target ($44.50)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$33.50 -
$35.95
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$2.83
(8.3%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$33.48
Resistance Level
$36.21
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.27
Wall Street Target
$44.50
(+29.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-23.5%
Profit Margin
3.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.3 vs 11.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$33.79
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$33.28
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$32.78
(-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→12)
$34.32
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: 13.0%)
$96.90
(+183%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.3, Growth: 13.0%)
$49.49
(+44%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.6, Growth: 13.0%)
$42.06
(+23%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (17x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 17.21 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.03
Bull Case
$57.60
(+68%)
Analyst growth 49.9%, PE expands to 18.9
Base Case
$52.37
(+53%)
Market implied 49.9%, PE stable at 17.2
Bear Case
$23.75
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.3 to 11.8
Stabilization Target:
$35.91
(+4.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+4.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 15, 2026 11:35 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:35 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:35 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is LZB showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Josh Gottheimer
SELL
2026-03-12
Michael Adam Leggett
SELL
2200 shares
2026-02-20
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Advanced LZB Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's LZB price and gamma walls.
