MAS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MAS - Masco Corporation
$66.09
-0.19 (-0.29%)
▼
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 10, 2026
9d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: MAS shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.5% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: MAS shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.5% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$84.68
Based on 5.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$52.58
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MAS is currently trading at $66.09, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $64.49 to $69.42. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 15.8) is in line with its historical norms (15.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.5% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MAS is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $65.10. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $74.53 (+12.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MAS is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $65.10. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $74.53 (+12.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$64.49 -
$69.42
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
71.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($74.53)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.5% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$64.49 -
$69.42
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$65.10
Resistance Level
$71.58
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.81
Wall Street Target
$74.53
(+12.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-3.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
16.9%
Profit Margin
10.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.5% premium
PE vs Historical
15.8 vs 15.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$66.61
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$66.94
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$67.28
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→16)
PE COMPRESSION
$66.40
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 6.6%)
$113.24
(+71%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.8, Growth: 6.6%)
$80.26
(+21%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.4, Growth: 6.6%)
$68.22
(+3%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (17x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 17.00 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.91
Bull Case
$78.43
(+19%)
Analyst growth 7.3%, PE expands to 18.7
Base Case
$71.30
(+8%)
Market implied 7.3%, PE stable at 17.0
Bear Case
$45.21
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 30, 2026 9:39 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:39 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:39 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MAS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
SELL
2025-09-29
Ro Khanna
BUY
2025-08-26
Jai Shah
SELL
82910 shares
2025-08-22
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