MAS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MAS - Masco Corporation
$59.02
-0.48 (-0.81%)
▼
5d:
-1.76%
30d:
-17.59%
90d:
-8.84%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 22, 2026
22d
Smart Money Accumulation
MAS is down 3.3% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $60 2026-05-15 with 164 OI. Call ratio: 67% View Scanner →
Strength: 3.3/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: MAS trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -5.7% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: MAS trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -5.7% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$99.86
Based on 7.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$62.00
4.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MAS is currently trading at $59.02, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $59.65 to $70.67. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 12.9) compared to its historical average (15.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.7% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MAS is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $58.16. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $80.32 (+35.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MAS is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $58.16. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $80.32 (+35.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$59.65 -
$70.67
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 35.0% below Wall St target ($80.32)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$59.65 -
$70.67
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$58.16
Resistance Level
$62.90
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.86
Wall Street Target
$80.32
(+35.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-1.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-5.9%
Profit Margin
10.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
12.9 vs 15.3
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$56.11
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$52.91
(-11%)
3-Year Target
$49.89
(-16%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→15)
$59.35
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 10.3%)
$139.18
(+134%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.9, Growth: 10.3%)
$79.92
(+34%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.9, Growth: 10.3%)
$67.93
(+14%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (15x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 15.24 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.86
Bull Case
$77.57
(+29%)
Analyst growth 19.8%, PE expands to 16.8
Base Case
$70.51
(+17%)
Market implied 19.8%, PE stable at 15.2
Bear Case
$40.01
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.9 to 15.3
Stabilization Target:
$70.78
(+19.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+19.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 1:51 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:51 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:51 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MAS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Heath M Eisman
SELL
747 shares
2026-02-26
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-01-29
Ro Khanna
SELL
2025-10-07
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