MATV Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MATV - Mativ Holdings, Inc.
$7.22
-0.22 (-2.96%)
▼
5d:
-9.75%
30d:
-11.95%
90d:
-17.2%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: MATV shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: MATV shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$21.91
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$13.60
46.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MATV is currently trading at $7.22, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $7.50 to $8.49. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 5.8) compared to its historical average (9.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 13.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 6447.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MATV is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $7.35. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: MATV has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $21.00 (+190.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MATV is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $7.35. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: MATV has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $21.00 (+190.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$7.50 -
$8.49
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 190.9% below Wall St target ($21.00)
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-9.8%) - monitor closely
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$7.50 -
$8.49
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$7.35
Resistance Level
$9.28
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
5.78
Wall Street Target
$21.00
(+190.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-1.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
6447.8%
Profit Margin
3.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-13.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
5.8 vs 9.0
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-13.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$6.50
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$5.85
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$5.26
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 6→9)
$8.20
(+14%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 47.1%)
$86.58
(+1099%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 5.8, Growth: 47.1%)
$22.96
(+218%)
Bear:
(PE: 4.9, Growth: 47.1%)
$19.52
(+170%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 5.28 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.41
Bull Case
$7.26
(+1%)
Analyst growth -11.3%, PE expands to 5.8
Base Case
$6.60
(-9%)
Market implied -11.3%, PE stable at 5.3
Bear Case
$5.06
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 4.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 5.8 to 9.0
Stabilization Target:
$11.25
(+55.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+55.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 03, 2026 6:04 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:04 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:04 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MATV showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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