MAX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

MAX - MediaAlpha, Inc.

SERVICES-BUSINESS SERVICES, NEC
$8.06
0.01 (0.12%) ▲
5d: -11.53%
30d: -19.64%
90d: +12.41%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Protect Your MAX Gains
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 29, 2026 0d
Smart Money Accumulation

MAX is down 10.3% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $12.5 2026-06-18 with 26 OI. Call ratio: 100% View Scanner →

Strength: 10.0/10

Get Alerted When MAX Hits Your Target Price

Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move

You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free No spam, ever Unsubscribe anytime

Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

Loading chart...

Loading historical data...

💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: MAX shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$20.30
Based on 12.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$12.60
36.1% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 6.8x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: MAX is currently trading at $8.06, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $8.72 to $9.89. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 4.8) compared to its historical average (6.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 10.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 1412.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, MAX is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $8.04. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: MAX has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $13.71 (+70.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $8.72 - $9.89
Company Quality Score 58/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 57.1%

Protect Your Profits

Holding MAX? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.

View Profit Protection Plan

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 70.2% below Wall St target ($13.71)
  • CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-11.5%) - monitor closely

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $8.72 - $9.89
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $8.04
Resistance Level $9.49
Current Trend Downtrend
Technical data as of May 15, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 4.83
Wall Street Target $13.71 (+70.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 17.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 1412.2%
Profit Margin 3.4%
Valuation Discount vs History -10.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical 4.8 vs 6.8 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -10.8% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $7.25 (-10%)
2-Year Target $6.53 (-19%)
3-Year Target $5.88 (-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 5→7) $8.27 (+3%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.1, Growth: 21.0%) $65.28 (+710%)
Base: (SPY PE: 4.8, Growth: 21.0%) $14.29 (+77%)
Bear: (PE: 4.1, Growth: 21.0%) $12.15 (+51%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (13x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (5x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 12.58 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.64
Bull Case $17.71 (+120%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 13.8
Base Case $16.10 (+100%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 12.6
Bear Case $5.47 (-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 4.8 to 6.8
Stabilization Target: $11.35 (+40.8%)
PE Expansion Potential: +40.8%
Share & Embed Analysis

Found this analysis useful? Share it with your community or embed the live chart on your blog.

Tweet Reddit
bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.
Last updated: May 18, 2026 8:18 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:18 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
20
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Steven Yi SELL 4000 shares 2026-04-22
Eugene Nonko SELL 15172 shares 2026-04-21
Eugene Nonko SELL 22274 shares 2026-04-21

Unlock Insider Activity

See real-time buying/selling by company executives for MAX.

Create Free Account

Already have an account? Log In

Top Rated Internet Content & Information Stocks

Top-rated stocks in Internet Content & Information by analyst ratings.

Stock Analyst Consensus Analyst Target Tradestie Score
TME
Tencent Music Entertainm…
STRONG BUY
32 analysts
$16 52 HOLD
GOOG
Alphabet Inc Class C
STRONG BUY
68 analysts
$420 62 BUY
GOOGL
Alphabet Inc Class A
STRONG BUY
68 analysts
$428 62 BUY
META
Meta Platforms Inc.
STRONG BUY
68 analysts
$827 55 HOLD
PINS
Pinterest Inc
STRONG BUY
42 analysts
$28 52 HOLD

Advanced MAX Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's MAX price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

More Analysis for MAX

MAX Technical Chart MAX Price Prediction MAX Earnings Date MAX Investment Advisor MAX Fair Price Analyzer MAX Options Advisor MAX Options Chain MAX Options Analysis MAX Competitors
Live Trades
From trading groups
Loading trades...
View All Live Trades See Trader Consensus & Signals