MBLY Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MBLY - Mobileye Global Inc. Class A Common Stock
$6.73
-0.09 (-1.32%)
▼
5d:
-11.68%
30d:
-23.09%
90d:
-33.76%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 27, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 23, 2026
23d
Smart Money Accumulation
MBLY is down 6.5% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $13 2026-05-15 with 6,231 OI. Call ratio: 66% View Scanner →
Strength: 4.8/10
Get Alerted When MBLY Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: MBLY is down 11.7% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: MBLY is down 11.7% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$18.35
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$11.39
40.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 24.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MBLY is currently trading at $6.73, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $7.40 to $8.77. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 17.6) compared to its historical average (24.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 10.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 99.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MBLY is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $6.74. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $15.56 (+131.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MBLY is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $6.74. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $15.56 (+131.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$7.40 -
$8.77
Company Quality Score
45/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding MBLY? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 131.2% below Wall St target ($15.56)
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -11.7% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$7.40 -
$8.77
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$6.74
Resistance Level
$8.13
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Mar 27, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.57
Wall Street Target
$15.56
(+131.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-9.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
99.7%
Profit Margin
-20.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-10.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
17.6 vs 24.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-10.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$6.06
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$5.45
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$4.91
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18→25)
$6.87
(+2%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 50.3%)
$28.95
(+330%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.6, Growth: 50.3%)
$22.71
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.9, Growth: 50.3%)
$19.31
(+187%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 17.6 to 24.6
Stabilization Target:
$9.42
(+40.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+40.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 7:04 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:04 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:04 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is MBLY showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Auto Parts Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Auto Parts by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
AZO
AutoZone Inc |
STRONG BUY
29 analysts |
$4225 | 60 HOLD |
|
ORLY
O’Reilly Automotive Inc |
STRONG BUY
28 analysts |
$106 | 62 BUY |
|
APTV
Aptiv PLC |
BUY
22 analysts |
$100 | 58 HOLD |
|
BWA
BorgWarner Inc |
STRONG BUY
18 analysts |
$68 | 57 HOLD |
|
HSAI
Hesai Group Sponsored ADR |
STRONG BUY
14 analysts |
$33 | 51 HOLD |
Advanced MBLY Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's MBLY price and gamma walls.
