MC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MC - MOELIS & COMPANY
$68.55
2.13 (3.21%)
▲
5d:
+4.72%
30d:
-1.01%
90d:
+20.94%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 23, 2026
18d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: MC shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.1% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: MC shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.1% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$133.15
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$82.68
17.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MC is currently trading at $68.55, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $65.53 to $69.02. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 17.3) is in line with its historical norms (17.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.1% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MC is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $65.17, while resistance sits at $71.72. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MC is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $65.17, while resistance sits at $71.72. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$65.53 -
$69.02
Company Quality Score
63/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
68.6%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.2%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($71.70)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.1% growth with 4.3% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$65.53 -
$69.02
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$65.18
Resistance Level
$71.72
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.34
Wall Street Target
$71.70
(+4.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-23.7%
Profit Margin
14.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.1% premium
PE vs Historical
17.3 vs 17.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$68.62
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$68.69
(+0%)
3-Year Target
$68.76
(+0%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→17)
PE COMPRESSION
$68.58
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 27.9%)
$180.09
(+163%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.3, Growth: 27.9%)
$143.42
(+109%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.7, Growth: 27.9%)
$121.90
(+78%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (24x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 23.89 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.78
Bull Case
$103.87
(+52%)
Analyst growth 42.2%, PE expands to 26.3
Base Case
$94.43
(+38%)
Market implied 42.2%, PE stable at 23.9
Bear Case
$45.17
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 20.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 03, 2026 9:53 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:53 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:53 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Osamu R Watanabe
SELL
2765 shares
2026-02-19
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