MEG Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MEG - Montrose Environmental Group, Inc.
$22.14
1.09 (5.18%)
▲
5d:
+4.68%
30d:
-1.03%
90d:
-0.63%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 13, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: MEG trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -5.2% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: MEG trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -5.2% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$36.87
Based on 7.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$22.89
3.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MEG is currently trading at $22.14, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $20.75 to $22.17. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 13.6) compared to its historical average (15.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.2% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MEG is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $22.04. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 5.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: MEG has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $35.00 (+58.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MEG is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $22.04. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 5.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: MEG has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $35.00 (+58.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$20.75 -
$22.17
Company Quality Score
63/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
81.0%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+5.2%)
- BULLISH: Trading 58.1% below Wall St target ($35.00)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$20.75 -
$22.17
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$20.10
Resistance Level
$22.04
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
May 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.56
Wall Street Target
$35.00
(+58.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.2%
Profit Margin
-0.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
13.6 vs 15.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$20.99
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$19.90
(-10%)
3-Year Target
$18.86
(-15%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→16)
$22.11
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.6, Growth: 10.6%)
$45.58
(+106%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.6, Growth: 10.6%)
$29.98
(+35%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.5, Growth: 10.6%)
$25.48
(+15%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.6 to 15.9
Stabilization Target:
$25.95
(+17.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+17.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 14, 2026 8:16 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:16 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:16 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MEG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
5
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Vijay Manthripragada
SELL
46121 shares
2026-03-13
Jose Revuelta
SELL
7858 shares
2026-03-09
Nasym Afsari
SELL
43348 shares
2026-03-03
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