MGA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MGA - Magna International
$54.38
-1.03 (-1.86%)
▼
5d:
+4.2%
30d:
-15.23%
90d:
+1.57%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 27, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 01, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: MGA shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: MGA shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$102.74
Based on 9.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$63.80
14.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MGA is currently trading at $54.38, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $54.96 to $64.22. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 7.1) compared to its historical average (8.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.0% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MGA is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $51.45, while resistance sits at $57.06.
Market Sentiment: MGA has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $68.67 (+26.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MGA is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $51.45, while resistance sits at $57.06.
Market Sentiment: MGA has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $68.67 (+26.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range
$54.96 -
$64.22
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 26.3% below Wall St target ($68.67)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$54.96 -
$64.22
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$51.45
Resistance Level
$57.06
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 27, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.10
Wall Street Target
$68.67
(+26.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-35.7%
Profit Margin
2.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
7.1 vs 8.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$51.12
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$48.05
(-12%)
3-Year Target
$45.17
(-17%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→9)
$54.74
(+1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 14.7%)
$258.83
(+376%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.1, Growth: 14.7%)
$81.99
(+51%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.0, Growth: 14.7%)
$69.69
(+28%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (18x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (7x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 17.81 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.93
Bull Case
$114.82
(+114%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 19.6
Base Case
$104.38
(+94%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 17.8
Bear Case
$35.49
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.1 to 8.6
Stabilization Target:
$65.91
(+21.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+21.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 8:51 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:51 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:51 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MGA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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