MGA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MGA - Magna International
$51.14
-1.65 (-3.13%)
ā¼
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 13, 2026
12d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
š” BUY OPPORTUNITY: MGA shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.1% decline. Moderate conviction.
š” BUY OPPORTUNITY: MGA shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.1% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$77.67
Based on 7.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$48.23
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MGA is currently trading at $51.14, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $52.94 to $55.94. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 8.8) is in line with its historical norms (8.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MGA is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $51.09. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MGA is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $51.09. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$52.94 -
$55.94
Company Quality Score
40/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
70.0%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.1%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($55.65)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$52.94 -
$55.94
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$51.09
Resistance Level
$56.50
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.83
Wall Street Target
$55.65
(+5.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-35.7%
Profit Margin
2.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.8 vs 8.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$52.74
(0%)
2-Year Target
$52.68
(0%)
3-Year Target
$52.63
(0%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9ā9)
$53.03
(+1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 11.8%)
$186.35
(+253%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.8, Growth: 11.8%)
$73.81
(+40%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.5, Growth: 11.8%)
$62.74
(+19%)
š
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 14.33 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.65
Bull Case
$94.22
(+84%)
Analyst growth 63.7%, PE expands to 15.8
Base Case
$85.66
(+68%)
Market implied 63.7%, PE stable at 14.3
Bear Case
$35.57
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
š”
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.8 to 8.9
Stabilization Target:
$53.19
(+0.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+0.8%
Last updated: January 30, 2026 6:00 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:00 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:00 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MGA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's MGA price and gamma walls.
